Kerry has 7-point lead in Michigan, New Mexico

[quaoar]

Kerry Leads Bush Among Likely Voters in New Mexico

John Kerry leads George W. Bush among likely voters in New Mexico according to a survey by the American Research Group. A total of 49% of likely voters say they would vote for Kerry if the presidential election were being held today and 42% say they would vote for Bush. A total of 3% of likely voters say they would vote for Ralph Nader and 6% of likely voters are undecided.

In a race between just Bush and Kerry, Kerry leads Bush 51% to 43%, with 6% undecided.

These results are based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in New Mexico. Of the 600 likely voters, 35% are registered as Republicans, 49% are registered as Democrats, and 16% are registered with a minor party or no party. The interviews were conducted July 6 through 8, 2004. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2004/07/09/new_polls.html

[RoundRockD]

1. Also, newly released TIME poll shows Kerry/Edwards 49, Bush/Ch 45.

So much for the AP poll which is the only poll that show Bush in the lead. Just saw this on Judy Woodruff's Inside Politics.

[lancdem]

5. What's interesting is that memo from the Kerry campaign

says the ticket's lead is 3 points if you average the recent polls. A 4-point lead sounds about right.

[AspenRose]

2. Hopefully a bump from Richardson and AG Patricia Madrid

will widen the gap even more. Patricia Madrid campaigned heavily for Edwards in the primaries.

[quaoar]

3. Here's the Michigan numbers

Kerry Leads Bush Among Likely Voters in Michigan

John Kerry leads George W. Bush among likely voters in Michigan according to a survey by the American Research Group. A total of 50% of likely voters say they would vote for Kerry if the presidential election were being held today and 43% say they would vote for Bush. A total of 2% of likely voters say they would vote for Ralph Nader and 5% of likely voters are undecided.

In a race between just Bush and Kerry, Kerry is at 51% and Bush is at 43%, with 6% undecided.

These results are based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in Michigan. Of the 600 likely voters, 34% consider themselves to be Republicans, 34% consider themselves to be Democrats, and 32% consider themselves to be Independents. The interviews were conducted July 6 through 8, 2004. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

[prodigal_green]

4. I like this site, because it compiles state polls

and it is updated more or less daily:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

[quaoar]

6. Who puts that site together?

Interesting that he/she gives Wisconsin to Bush and Arkansas and Nevada to Kerry.