Ohio Polling Stats - This is a tossup state

[TexasSissy]

From Abraham Lincoln to George W. Bush, no Republican has been elected president without carrying Ohio.

In the 2000 election, Bush carried Ohio 50% to Gore's 46%.

Bear in mind that "undecideds" often vote for the challenger.

Here is a consolidation of some recent polls for Ohio (I don't know if this will format correctly; if it doesn't, I'll try to edit it):

Poll Date Who K B Nader Undec Leading


Rasmussen
7/9/04
Kerr - 42
Bush - 46
LEADING: Bush +4


ARG
6/24/04
Who polled - Likely voters
Kerr - 49
Bush - 43
Nader - 2
Undec - 6
LEADING - Kerry +6

ARG
6/24/04
Who polled - Likely voters
Nader taken out of the mix
Kerr - 50
Bush - 44
Undec- 6
LEADING - Kerry +6

ARG
&Fox (as reported by someone else)
6/23/04
Kerr - 45
Bush - 44
LEADING - Kerry +1

Rasmussen
6/2/04
Kerr - 44
Bush - 46
Undec- 6
LEADING - Bush +2

Rasmussen
6/2/04
Nader taken out of the mix
Kerr - 42
Bush - 46
LEADING - Bush +4

ARG
5/13/04
Who polled - Likely voters
Kerr - 49
Bush - 42
LEADING - Kerry +7

Gallup
5/1/04
Kerr - 46
Bush - 51
LEADING - Bush +5

Rasmussen
3/16/04
Kerr - 45
Bush - 41
Undec- 6
LEADING - Kerry +4

[liberalmuse]

1. Damn!

I must find a way to lure my religioso-wingnut mother out of Ohio and back to Utah before the election. At least the rest of my relatives there are solid Dem.

[Merlin]

7. Just got mine moved to LA. Unfortunately my wacko brother is still there.

And he's an active Rethug.

[NMDemDist2]

2. Kerry 292 Bush 246

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

I love this site, he does state by state polls daily

[TexasSissy]

3. Me, too. I hope he's right. I used the polls he cites in my post.

I looked at the excel spreadsheet link on his page, where he cites the polls he uses to come up with his numbers. I used his poll sources in my post, but I went to other sources to look at the numbers, also.

[Massacure]

4. Looks like Kerry needs to get moving in Ohio.

20 Electoral Votes would be a mistake to loose.

[AndyTiedye]

5. Why is Bush* GAINING in Ohio?

Is it all saturation negative ads and slanted press coverage?


There has been zero good news for Bush* in the past week or two.

[TexasSissy]

6. I don't know. It's a total mystery to me. But Repubs usu. carry Ohio,

so maybe it's just a big improvement that he's barely ahead there. Go figure. It's not part of the Bible Belt, and there have been jobs lost there. So I don't get it.

[Waverley_Hills_Hiker]

9. the SW and Southern parts of the state are pretty fundy

Not part of the bible belt, but there are alot of fundy/evangelicals down here, as well as conservative catholics. Ohio is actually a bit complex, and alot more conservative than one would think.

[Merlin]

8. It's because the earlier numbers were just after Abu Graib.

AG shook the foundations of the unthinking, uninformed blind followers of the blind.