Which toss-up state do you feel WORST about?

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

These are toss-up states identified by www.rasmussenreports.com

Which of these states do you think we're LEAST likely to win?

Note: There is a separate poll for MOST likely to win here: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x577214

[HFishbine]

1. West Virginia

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

3. Perhaps you didn't read the list....

It's not a toss-up state.

[HFishbine]

6. According to who?

Is it solidly dem or repuke?

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

7. Repuke

And please actually read the original post. It's according to www.rasmussenreports.com

[spooky3]

13. Here's the link to the specific states.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/election_2004.htm

[HFishbine]

14. Thanks

That proves my point.

VA is 52/44 Bush and considered a tossup.

WV is 52/46 Bush -- also a tossup.

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

18. Those numbers you're quoting

Are from 2000 Bush vs. Gore. They aren't current polling numbers. Nice try though. You should really read everything before commenting.

Current polling numbers: WV 46-41 Bush, VA 48-45 Bush
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Virginia%20July%2010.htm
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/West%20Virginia_April.htm

[WI_DEM]

17. actually some polls give Bush the lead and others

have had it very close--I think it should be considered a toss-up.

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

19. Again, I'm just using Rasmussen

I've made that pretty clear.

[Zynx]

2. For some reason I don't think we will win Missouri.

I don't know why, but even on a good night I'm not sure I see it. I know it was really close last time, but I get the sense that as time goes on Missouri is becoming more and more Republican.

[leyton]

22. Ditto.

I think it is no longer the bellwether it used to be.

[Kolesar]

4. Greetings from the Buckeye State

(1) I keep meeting Bush 2000 voters who swear they won't vote for him again
(2) The economy may be recovering, but not in Ohio
(3) New voter registration is going quite well

I would have to vote Virginia. I cannot believe it is even a contender for Kerry-Edwards.

[calico1]

5. Hope you are right about Ohio.

I was one of the ones that picked it. It seems every time I see a report on how its going there, you see all these glassy eyed people just raving about our "wonderful" President and others who don't like him much but who don't like the "Liberal Easterner." Hope I've just been seeing the bad news. By the way last night there was another report and it centered around one county in particular. I forgot the name of it but I belive Akron is in that county. Any feelings on the mood there? Looks like both parties are working very hard and according to the report last night they said the election could very well be decided by this one county in Ohio.

[Kolesar]

8. You probably saw the report about Canton in Stark County

They call Stark the bellweather county in the bellweather state. Three major plant closings this year. No future. The young people are leaving town for work. Kind of like my home town two decades ago.

[calico1]

11. Hmmmmm... Stark County doesn't sound familiar

It was a longer name. What other close counties are there?

Edit--I did a search for "Ohio counties" to see if I could refresh my memory. I think they said Summit County. Does that sound right?

[Kolesar]

15. Stark and Summit are the populous ones

From memory: Tuscarawas, Knox, Medina (gops), Wayne, Holmes (Amish!), Portage

[CreekDog]

9. It helps to be dead if you want to win Missouri

[spooky3]

10. It can be won if they spend a lot of time here. People here would love

Edwards if they can shake his hand, especially if his family is with him, and likeability seems to be the main thing for many people. Also, there are plenty of military families in Tidewater who might ordinarily go Repuke but this year have a lot of concerns, and Kerry's veteran status may appeal to them. There is also a growing minority population there and in No VA.

[Kathy in Cambridge]

12. New Hampshire

I currently work in the state and judging by my coworkers, Bush has a damn good chance of taking the state.

[Doosh]

16. Maine is starting to worry me

it should be more solidly in Kerry's corner by now.

[JHBowden]

20. I'm nervous about Pennsylvania.

Right now it is a lot closer than it should be. Hopefully the 7% Nader vote will deterioriate.

[HFishbine]

21. HEY!

That's NOT ON THE LIST!

[Padraig18]

23. Where's Florida?

That's still a toss-up, and I feel awful about our chances there, frankly.

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

24. Not on the Rasmussen list.

Please read the original post again.

As of July 7th, Rasmussen's polling gives Kerry a 48-43 edge. It has to be less than 5 points to be a toss up.