Results of current polls, July 13, 2004

[Nicholas_J]

National:

NATIONAL POLLS :
CNN/Gallup/USA Today:
Kerry 50, Bush 45, Nader 2

IBD/TIPP: Kerry 47, Bush 43, Nader 4

Newsweek: Kerry 47, Bush 44, Nader 3

Time: Kerry 49, Bush 44

Rasmussen: 7/12: Kerry 48, Bush 44


Doing good nationally:

Latest states:

STATE POLLS :
Zogby Interactive Battleground Polls
NC: Bush 54, Kerry 39, Nader 4

NH: Bush 45, Kerry 44, Nader 4

FL: Kerry 47, Bush 44

AR: Bush 49, Kerry

A wee bit concerned about New Hampshire.

It looks like polarized nation. Except for Florida and Arkansas, Bush has a stranglehold on the south, and he does not even need to focus on these areas at all. Bush/Cheney is blanketing Florida with Attack ads on Kerry/Edwards (I get to listen to the crap, while Kerry/Edwards are relatively silent which is probably good, Let Bush rant and rave until the message becomes old, and then Kerry/Edwards can bring out freshe stuff about Bush/Cheney which will stick in the minds of the undecided).


Kerry/Edwards are starting to widen their leads in states that they already led in, like Illinois, but the leads in states like Michigan are narowing (Which I think odd, as there is no way these states will go for Bush).

[bushwakker]

1. Clinton won NH twice

can't fugure out why this one is a toss up. The Bushes actually have a pretty bad track record up there (Buchanan '92, McCain '00).

[King of New Orleans]

2. Don't know where you got those polls from

The first poll (NC) is a CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. It showed among registered voters a 49-43 Bush lead. Among "likely" voters a 54-39 lead (likely to Gallup).

As for Zogby Interactive, they had Kerry with a 9 point lead in NH, a 6.6 point lead in Florida and Bush with a 1 point lead in Arkansas.