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Rasmussen NC: Obama (49) ; Clinton (40)

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MattNC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 10:06 AM
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Rasmussen NC: Obama (49) ; Clinton (40)
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 10:07 AM
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1. We'll win there no matter what.
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democrattotheend Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 10:08 AM
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2. Expected, but not so terrible
I don't like that Rasmussen is polling on Wright. The way they slanted the question sounds almost like a push poll.
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MattNC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 10:10 AM
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3. Black vote
Listed at 74-10 in favor of Obama. Undervalues Obama's support if recent trends are accurate.
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 10:14 AM
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4. but he also has IN in play for Obama Obama within 5 adn 13% undecided
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thewiseguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 10:21 AM
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5. His lead among African Americans is 74% to 10%
Edited on Fri May-02-08 10:21 AM by thewiseguy
So you have 16% of African Americans are undecided at this point and given their turnout will be around 35%, that is about a 6% further bump for him.

I think Obama will carry NC by at least 15%.
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 10:22 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. yep, that will be much higher. Both ARG and Zogby out today show bigger leads for Obama.
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marzellino Donating Member (14 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 10:25 AM
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7. 9% is a healthy lead
NC will be the nail in the coffin.
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Life Long Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 10:33 AM
Response to Original message
8. delete dupe
Edited on Fri May-02-08 10:37 AM by Life Long Dem
delete dupe
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Life Long Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 10:36 AM
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9.  Rasmussen NC: Shows 2 point gain for Obama
For the last 2 months!

North Carolina Democratic Primary Trends

Date ------Obama Clinton
5/01/2008 49% 40%

3/06/2008 47% 40%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/north_carolina/north_carolina_democratic_primary
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