This is based on Gallup Poll Daily tracking from April 30-May 2, and is the tenth consecutive day the Democratic candidates have been statistically tied in national preferences. (To view the complete trend since Jan. 3, 2008, click here.)
There has been no evidence of significant momentum for either candidate since Obama's lead in early April collapsed following Clinton's victory in the April 22 Pennsylvania primary and amidst renewed controversy over Obama's association with the Rev. Jeremiah Wright. However, that could change if the next wave of upcoming primaries delivers any major surprises or otherwise clarifies whether Clinton or Obama is the stronger candidate.
The four delegates chosen Saturday in Guam's Democratic caucuses aren't important to either candidate's delegate count. However, the fact that both campaigns are committing resources to this tiny election -- and that the national media is providing unprecedented coverage of it -- suggests the winner of this U.S. territory will be able to claim some limited bragging rights leading into Tuesday's major primaries in North Carolina and Indiana.
As Gallup reported yesterday, John McCain has now moved into a significant lead over Obama among national registered voters for the general election, while he about ties with Clinton. Today's figures, based on interviewing conducted April 28-May 2, remain identical, with McCain leading Obama 48% to 42%, and McCain edging out Clinton by one point, 46% to 45%.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/106978/Gallup-Daily-Democratic-Horse-Race-NeckandNeck-47.aspx