Someone posted this link yesterday. I had time this morning to look it over and runs some numbers through my "fuzzy" calculator
2004 Presidential Race Battleground State Match Ups
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_sbys.htm... Summary: Point Spread Average has been rounded to the nearest whole number. There are 189 Electoral Votes within the Battleground states.
Nevada (5 Electoral Votes) TIE
Bush: Average Spread: +6, Electoral Votes: 52
Arkansas (6 Electoral Votes).........+4
Arizona (10 Electoral Votes)..........+10
Missouri (11 Electoral Votes).........+4
Ohio (20 Electoral Votes)................+4
West Virginia (5 Electoral Votes)...+6
Kerry: Average Spread: +6, Electoral Votes: 132
Florida (27 Electoral Votes)................+4
Iowa (7 Electoral Votes).......................+3
Maine (4 Electoral Votes).....................+9
Michigan (17 Electoral Votes).............+6
Minnesota (19 Electoral Votes)...........+6
New Hampshire (4 Electoral Votes)...+6
New Mexico (5 Electoral Votes)..........+7
Oregon (7 Electoral Votes)...................+7
Pennsylvania (21 Electoral Votes).....+5
Washington (11 Electoral Votes).......+6
Wisconsin (10 Electoral Votes)..........+7