Hillary has serious momentum. New AP/ Ipsos Poll

[saracat]

http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/pressrelease.cfm?id=3909


new AP Ipsos national poll has just been released. Hillary has some serious momentum happening.

Clinton (47%) Overtakes Obama (40%) Nationally On Eve of Indiana And North Carolina Primaries ; Poll Shows Clinton Campaign Picking Up Steam With Democrats Nationally 47% say that if the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus was being held in their state today, they would choose Clinton, while 40% would vote for Barack Obama.

These results are in contrast to a poll conducted by Ipsos from April 23rd to April 27th and released last week which showed that Obama had a forty-six percent to forty-three percent lead over Clinton on this same question.

Hillary's greatest support is coming from women with high school education or less and low income voters. The margin of error is 3.1%.

[Neshanic]

1. More propoganda from the Clinton/MSM/Republicans that Clenis controls

Did I get that one right Obamists?

[The Doctor.]

17. Not really.

47-40 isn't enough to make up her deficit by a long shot.

[saltpoint]

2. Contest results in NC and IN on Tuesday will not alter the

nomination race which is virtually out of her reach. Actually it will alter it a bit, IMO, by making it even FURTHER from her reach.

Her staff confirmed that they plan to "go nuclear" -- in service of their boss' obviously craven and out of control ego.

Other national polling, by the way, does not reflect this outcome, but rather shows Obama re-establishing his lead despite the Wright controversy.

Hillary Clinton's absurd circus stunt gas tax holiday is not helping her at all. Nor should it.

[Texas Hill Country]

4. it is out of both their reach if you are being honest.

[saltpoint]

6. Not as I read the steaming entrails. Delegates are drifting to Obama.

And away from Clinton.

The ship has not officially sailed.

But the crew is just about ready to depart.

All aboard!

[saracat]

5. And Obama hasn't an ego? Drink that Koolaid. Yeeech!

[saltpoint]

10. Saracat, here's an opportunity to discuss the issues.

You've had to zoom off in a mad rush in previous posts.

At last we can have the opportunity to compare and contrast.

Lincoln? Experience? Lost leads? Grassroots organization? County-level Democratic support? Fundraising? Management of strategy? Speaking styles? Support of McCain?

Where to start?!

[grasswire]

3. veddy interesting

What a race this has been!

[emilyg]

18. Most exciting in years.

[Up2Late]

7. *crickets*

They are ignoring the bad news again.

If this was a "Obama pull ahead my 1% (+/- 5%) this thread would have 30 or 40 "yeah Obama" posts and 25 Recommends by now.

[MadBadger]

8. In the matchups, Hillary loses 4 points and Obama gains two.

[Up2Late]

13. Two What?

What the hell are you smoking, because I want some of that.

[MadBadger]

14. Hillary was up 9 in the vs. McCain matchup, Obama was up 2. Now he's up 4 and shes down to five.

[datopbanana]

9. HRC 47 McCain 42..............BO 46 McCain 42...........So who cares? The dem race is over.

Clinton would garner 47% of the popular vote, with McCain picking up 42% of the vote. Should Barack Obama go up against McCain in November, 46% of Americans say they would vote for Obama compared to 42% who would vote for McCain.

[VolcanoJen]

11. A national poll, after 45 states have voted.

Feel The Joe-Mentum!!!!

:rofl:

[Quixote1818]

12. Other national polls show just the opposit. nt

[K8-EEE]

21. Then they must be ignored by the Hill supporters

They are just having a hard time with the math here. She needs more than "momentum" she needs like 85% of everything left and as IF!!

I love how the media is always saying how people are so turned off by Wright, etc., bullshit, everyone I know feels as I do, my respect for Hillary has sunk like a stone the last few weeks. Both she and Bill have just blown it, run a crappy campaign and insulted our intelligence more times than I can count.

[saltpoint]

15. Gallup suggests results to the contrary:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/03/22/gallup-obama-retakes-lea_n_92918.html

--with Obama regaining the lead nationally.

That result is reflected in other polls as well.

[saltpoint]

16. And darn it, here's another one:

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/05/04/nytcbs_poll_obama_rebounds_nationally.html


--with Obama regaining ground.

[Hoof Hearted]

19. Sara, don't take this in the wrong way but - I LOVE YOU!

Thanks for bringing this! :bounce:

[K8-EEE]

20. More like Joe-Mentum!

It's too late for "momentum" in the primaries, she's cooked there. She needs Super Delegate momentum, and Obama has it.

[gaiilonfong]

22. YEAH Hillary Clinton(NeoCon-NY) STILL winning LOW INFO voters

That is some braggin rights huh Marshites?

LMAO

[2rth2pwr]

23. Go Hillary!

[saltpoint]

24. Sonofagun, here's yet another one -- from this morning:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x5837200

[CreekDog]

25. yeah, here's one woman who supports Hillary

"I am definitely going to try to go with Hillary. I almost feel like Obama's the anti-Christ from the Middle East," - Mary Bunger, a 44-year-old single mom from Abington, rural Indiana.

http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2008/05/quote-for-the-8.html

[Maven]

26. Wow.

Thanks for posting. :)

[stevietheman]

27. Obama already has this race sewn up. That's been true since Wisconsin. n/t

n/t

[CreekDog]

28. Wow, that is serious

better get that checked. :hide:

[Lucky 13]

29. She has serious momentum with SuperD's too!

Momentum towards the toilet. She has been losing ground in superdelegates since Iowa. Her once vast lead has now been cut to +15 at last count. More are lined up for Obama than have announced.

More importantly national polls are not the measure of how this campaign is going. The nominee is not decided by the polls. They are decided by primaries and caucuses. Delegates and superdelegates.

Moral of the story: she lacks any positive momentum in any area that actually COUNTS.