Jon Carroll
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2004/07/20/DDGG77G1U31.DTL<snip>
So some of the more paranoid people among us (the paranoid people are rapidly earning an alternative name: realists) have suggested that the Bush administration may be preparing some sort of "October surprise," a staged event that would give a lift to the Republican candidate just before the election.
This speculation became rather more concrete when the New Republic, citing an unnamed Pakistani intelligence officer, said the Bush administration was pushing Pakistan to produce Osama bin Laden or another "HVT" -- high- value target -- during the week of the Democratic convention or during the last two weeks in October.
Now, of course, coincidences do happen, and we are certain that our fine friends the Pakistanis would produce Osama just the minute they got their hands on him. Actually, we are not certain of that. We just hope it's true.
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E-mail your guesses to the address at the bottom of the column. Please put "October surprise" in the subject line. Remember that brevity is the soul of getting your entries read promptly. In the event of a tie, I shall make an arbitrary decision. In the event that there is no October surprise, I will give your letters to a charity that needs your cast-off nouns and verbs.
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Now, a chance for you to win something we'll think of later. Just guess the nature of the forthcoming cynical manipulation.
Remember, no salesman will call, and no African princes will write you begging letters, so e-mail jcarroll@sfchronicle.com.
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