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If it is Hillary less than 5 in IN and Obama over 10 in NC I think the SDs will flock to Obama!

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KansasVoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:03 AM
Original message
If it is Hillary less than 5 in IN and Obama over 10 in NC I think the SDs will flock to Obama!
Remember, since PA, Obama has gained 11 more Super Delegates than Hillary. And that was after a 9 point win for Hillary in PA. Obviously, the majority of the SDs were not impressed with the PA win.

If they went for Obama after he lost by 9 think what will happen if he wins NC by 10 or more and losses NC by less than 5.

Maybe today will be it for Hillary!!

Please get out and vote for Obama today!!!

Go Obama!
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Tropics_Dude83 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:04 AM
Response to Original message
1. Exactly what I'm thinking as well-n/t
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Starbucks Anarchist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:04 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. Did the coin land on heads or tails today?
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habitual Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:08 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. i know right!
how dare someone think for themselves.

Don't they know that's what they have Hillary for????
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Tom Rinaldo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:04 AM
Response to Original message
2. I think you are probably right if that is the result n/t
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habitual Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:06 AM
Response to Original message
4. i think this is the common consensus
but i honestly think that Hillary will obviously know that it is about to happen and will cede the nomination and withdraw from the race if she knew they were going to force her out.

Why stay in it just to get dogged... The only reason she is here now is because THEY ARE NOT flooding to Obama now as she has been able to apply enough 'please, wait and see' pressure to them.

After this tuesday tho, the whole ballgame could change.
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casus belli Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 10:06 AM
Response to Original message
5. Not to mention...he's actually got a chance in IN
I don't think there'll be any questions lingering about his cross-over appeal to voters in different demographics if he pulls Indiana off, and it will be a death sentence for Hillary's campaign.
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RaleighNCDUer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 11:41 AM
Response to Reply #5
7. I suspect that there is some poll inflation going on -
He might win IN, but it's likelier that she will by 2-4. He might take NC by 10+, but it's likelier that it will be 6-8.

In any case, he will come up with a net gain in delegates, and the only way for her to hang in would be if SHE had a net gain, and he had a net loss, showing she has momentum. As he will be winning the state that has 30 more delegates available than the state she will probably win, there's no way for that to happen, without her taking IN by 20+.
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