LA Times: Kerry 46, Bush 44, Nader 3
July 23, 2004 E-mail story Print
THE TIMES POLL
Bush, Kerry Neck and Neck in Survey
The Democrat's lead is minor despite majority's unhappiness with the country's direction.
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July 23, 2004
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Bush, Kerry Neck and Neck in Survey
Going to War Not Worth It, More Voters Say
Voters Shift in Favor of Kerry
By Ronald Brownstein, Times Staff Writer
WASHINGTON — Despite dissatisfaction with the country's direction and the administration's principal policies, the presidential race remains a virtual dead heat as the Democratic convention approaches, a Times poll has found.
Sen. John F. Kerry, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, leads President Bush by 2 percentage points among registered voters nationwide, with or without liberal independent candidate Ralph Nader included in the matchup. That's an advantage within the poll's margin of error, and a smaller lead than Kerry enjoyed in a Times survey last month.
The survey also asked questions measuring interest in the race, to assess which voters were most likely to turn out this fall. Among the likely voters, Bush and Kerry are tied, with or without Nader in the equation.
But other poll findings show narrow — and in some instances broad — majorities unhappy with Bush's direction, a threatening trend for an incumbent.
http://www.latimes.com/news/custom/timespoll/la-na-poll23jul23,1,3447280.story?coll=la-home-headlinesNEVADA:
Poll | Date Sample MoE Bush Kerry Nader Spread 2000 Vote
SUSA | 7/20-7/22 801 L 3.5 45 49 - Kerry +4 Bush +4
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/nv_polls.htmlMICHIGAN:
July 19, 2004
Slight Lead For Kerry/Edwards In Michigan
(CPOD) Jul. 19, 2004 – The Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards holds a slight advantage in the state of Michigan, according to a poll by Strategic Vision. 46 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democrats in the 2004 United States presidential election, while 44 per cent would support Republican incumbents George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.
Independent candidate Ralph Nader and running mate Peter Camejo garner the support of one per cent of respondents, while nine per cent remain undecided. The election is scheduled for Nov. 2.
Democrat Al Gore won the state’s 18 electoral votes in 2000, with 51 per cent of the vote. The last Republican to carry Michigan was George H. Bush in 1988.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=3463CALIFORNIA:
Poll | Date Sample MoE Bush Kerry Nader Spread 2000 Vote
PPIC | 6/30-7/14 1,378 L 2.7 38 49 5 Kerry +11 Gore +11
http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/S_704MBS.pdf