Updated Polls

[Nicholas_J]

Zogby: Kerry 48, Bush 43

While Democrats Rally in Boston,
Kerry-Edwards Leads By Five Points Over
Bush-Cheney (48%-43%), New Zogby America Poll Reveals
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews848.html



Rasmussen (7/30): Kerry 48, Bush 45


Presidential Tracking Poll: Bush-Kerry

Updated Daily by Noon Eastern Election 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush 45%
Kerry 48%
Other 2%
Not Sure 5%
RasmussenReports.com

Friday July 30, 2004--For the third straight day, the Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John Kerry with 48% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 45%. The Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.

While the television audience for the Democratic National Convention was relatively small, 67% of voters said that they followed news stories about the event either somewhat or very closely. This figure includes 78% of Democrats, 61% of unaffiliated voters, and 60% of Republicans.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm


These are the latest polls, superceding the last ABC/Washington Post polls taken at the beginning of the convention. These polls, were updated today at noon, and are the first polls that reflect through the entire convention and the first day after it.



ABC/WP: Bush 48, Kerry 46, Nader

[forgethell]

1. I had been hoping for a

somewhat bigger 'bump'. The repukes still have their convention to go.

[Zynx]

2. Good lord man, these aren't polls taken after the Kerry speech.

Be better informed. Besides once we do get our eight or nine point bounce from Kerry's speech, we will not fear much from the Republican convetion as incumbant conventions rarely yield much in the way of a bounce.

[forgethell]

7. I suspect that

I am better informed than you. Where is the bounce??

[Nicholas_J]

5. Generally

The incumbent does not get bounce from their convention. In many cases, the convention of the incumbent party leads to a drop in the polls for the incumbent, as it is in the last few weeks that the undecided finally start to make up their minds. Historically, 85 percent of the undecided that are still left at the time of their convention decide against the incumbent and go for the opposition. The convention reminds them of what is pissing them off about the party currently in power, and it compacts all of the information into a brief few days.

[Nederland]

9. Link?

Historically, 85 percent of the undecided that are still left at the time of their convention decide against the incumbent and go for the opposition.

Got a link for this, because I've heard the exactly opposite. Don't know for sure though, and I hope you're right.

[tandt5044]

8. True, but the RNC

will be held after the Athens Olympics ...

[quaoar]

3. Latest Fox News poll

Shows Bush leading 85% to 8% for Kerry with Nader threatening to take over second place at 7%. The poll shows Bush leading even in the District of Columbia. The margin of error is plus/minus 100 percent.

[drmom]

4. Good one!

[non sociopath skin]

6. My God! Fox has Kerry on 8 per cent???

That's DOUBLE what they gave him last week!

The Skin :)