* * The Countdown to Huckabee Index ZERO * *

[phrigndumass]

As of 5:15 p.m. Eastern Time, Friday, May 9

Barack Obama:
Pledged Delegates - 1,592.5 (Source: CNN)
Super Delegates - 269 (Source: MyBO)

Total Delegates - 1,861.5

Number of Total Delegates Needed to Huckabee Senator Clinton - 1,869.5

Huckabee Index: 8

It. Could. Happen. Tonight.

:bounce: :party: :toast: :loveya:

Help me keep track!

[Greyskye]

1. And get ready to PARTY!

[phrigndumass]

71. Looks like we'll have to wait for another day to celebrate. Huckabee Index = 3

Three short for today. I have my next post all lined up and ready to go when Huck gets goosed.

Greyskye, I stole your club emoticon for the next thread! (pssst ... thanks!)

I'm off to eat a waffle and wash it down with some orange kool-aid. Good night!

[myrna minx]

2. I guess I'm going to have to pick up another bottle of champagne tonight.

Yay! :kick: :toast:

[Joe the Revelator]

3. Can someone explain the Huckabee Index to me?

[Warren Stupidity]

4. Just because I am rather stupid.

The "Huckabee Index" is the number of any combination of superdelegates and convention/caucus delegates that the Obama campaign needs (or the Clinton campaign loses) to make it mathematically impossible for the Clinton campaign to win the nomination, based on current delegate count and polls for upcoming contests. (Disclaimer: This is meant to poke fun at Mike Huckabee, not Hillary Clinton)
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/users/profile/mrJJ

But I am good with the googler.

[phrigndumass]

5. WOW! My Huckabee Index is getting blogged!

Waaaaayyyy toooo fucking cool!

:rofl: :rofl: :rofl: :rofl: :party: :party: :party: :woohoo:

[chknltl]

35. We are sooo unworthy! (raises arms and bows repeatedly)

So are you going on John Stewert or Stephen Colbert first??? Go with Stephen and if you would be so kind ask him what his beef is with bears.

Congrats to you phrigndumbass, you've have earned our gratitude for awhile now...it appears that others are catchin on to what we DUers have been blessed with! Way To Go!
:toast: to you sir, :yourock:

[phrigndumass]

45. Maybe on radio, I'm too ugly for TV! (kidding)

Maybe Randi or Rachel could do a phoner with me LOL! (like that'll happen)

Thanks for the love, chknltl!!! You make me blush with your kind words! :blush: :blush: :blush: :loveya:

[chknltl]

50. Credit where credit is due.

You sir have kept us enlightened with your words, (graphs pie charts and etc.) When we had doubts we could turn to your posts...when we got in heated debates, ('debates'-ha!!!), we had your posts to link to and like magic our unworthy opponents disappeared!

Somehow we have almost gotten through this primary with our sanity intact and guess what? We have YOU to blame for keeping our fragile sanity intact!

blush away but: Credit where major credit is due, you've earned our gratitude and then some!

[phrigndumass]

63. (major blushing) :)

It was Senator Clinton's spin after Texas that made me start this whole thing. I had to figure it out for my own sanity, and I felt better afterwards. So I shared it with you folks.

Transcendentally, you are saying that Senator Clinton's spin is to blame for keeping you sane! Ironic! LMAO!

I am very happy I was able to help others see through the shitstorm!

[chknltl]

68. When in doubt: transcendentally blame bush-2/bush-1/reagan. eom

[grantcart]

6. In other words if he out performs the polls that would result in additional delegates

or if he picks up any super delegates that would increase his number and reduce the H.I.

Once the H.I. It means that she not only has no reasonable mathematical chance to win she would have to win all of the super delegates from that point on not to be eliminated (assuming that the actual delegates from the remaining primaries are accurate - so far we have been able to forecast the delegates from primaries very very accurately. NC and Indiana phringndumass was off only a single delegate).

[phrigndumass]

7. Once the H.I. hits zero, baby! That sucker's gonna BLOW! lol

Oprah lied to me. I was off by one delegate. Bitch!

:rofl:

[IDemo]

12. But she's using PowerPoint on them now

I'm sure there's no resisting that.

[K Gardner]

8. Is "Huckabee" now a VERB, too?? i.e., "needed to Huckabee Senator Clinton".. you've

also created new words for Websters ! You and Grant and TVOR just rock :-) :applause:

[phrigndumass]

11. It can be an adverb, too! When it hits zero, she is Hucked!

(careful how you say that, lol)

:rofl:

[helderheid]

13. !!!!!!!

:spray:

[Warren Stupidity]

14. Totally Hucked.

Or perhaps she can just Huck Off.

[grantcart]

16. thats the problem Hucks don't Off they stay

[DevonRex]

55. Wouldn't that be behucked?

[phrigndumass]

60. LOL!

:spray: :hi:

[FlyingSquirrel]

9. Thanks, and hope you don't mind if I included you in a limerick

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=5900125&mesg_id=5905787

:)

[phrigndumass]

15. I am so giggly right now, LMAO!

:spray: :rofl: :yourock:

[K Gardner]

21. That limerick is a gem.. a Keeper !

[helderheid]

10. I Heart Huckabee

Index!!!!!!!!

[Aloha Spirit]

20. +1

[dbmk]

17. Hah! I was just doing that calculation myself :)

And I stormed in to see if you had posted, because the number was so damn low I was sure you had to. :)

[phrigndumass]

19. You would know that it's low (hey a rhyme, ain't it time?)

:spray:

(p.s. I blogrolled your journal, dbmk!)

[dbmk]

25. I noticed :)

Just returned the favor. Not that I think it helps much.

(I swear to god that my next thread on numbers will be called "Clintons racist sister slept with Obamas pastors uncle under the bus". That should at least give 50 recs. :) )

[phrigndumass]

31. LMAO !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Sometimes that's what it takes! (you made me cry, I was laughing so hard)

:rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

[phrigndumass]

18. * * * If anyone sees a source with greater than 269 SDs for Obama, share it here! * * *

We'll all give you lotsa love!

:loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya:

[helderheid]

23. givin' love to you!!!!

:loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya::loveya:

[phrigndumass]

27. aawwwwww!!!

:pals:

:yourock:

:loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya:

[MoJoWorkin]

22. I see 271 SD's per Obama site, and 1865 total

http://www.barackobama.com/resultscenter/index.php

I don't know what is accurate anymore---everyone seems to have different numbers

[phrigndumass]

26. DING DING DING ... Huckabee Index at *** 4 ***

Thanks to MoJoWorkin!!!

Huckabee Index: 4

Show MoJoWorkin some love, y'all!

:loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya: :loveya:

:headbang: :headbang: :headbang: :headbang: :headbang: :headbang: :headbang: :headbang: :headbang: :headbang: :headbang:
:yourock: :yourock: :yourock: :yourock: :yourock: :yourock: :yourock: :yourock: :yourock: :yourock: :yourock:

[dbmk]

28. Question

Do you take into account which of them was projected addons? If any? Just don't want it to reach 0 and then the sole Hillary supporter with a calculator comes along and spoils the party :)

[phrigndumass]

30. The addons are projected, as you suspected (hey, another rhyme!)

34 unnamed add-on supers in Obama country, states he won handily.

:patriot: :woohoo:

[dbmk]

32. Wasn't one of them coming in today?

Utah 1 5/9/2008

Just making sure its not being counted in both columns :)

[phrigndumass]

33. Yes! Hasn't come in yet, but when it does, we can't count it.

We would need one more, if the Utah add-on is in the mix.

[TheDoorbellRang]

24. How did it get so low ?

Help me out here, phrigndumass.

There's a little variation from source to source, but not enough to make a big difference.

Per DCW, she is at 1696, 329 short of 2025. I'm guesstimating a generous 117 delegates out of 217 to her in the remaining contests. That leaves her needing 212 of the 257.5 remaining super delegates, for a (in my head) HI of 45.5.

Am I just being too generous to her with pledged delegates?

[phrigndumass]

29. It's the add-ons in addition to the new supers!

There's 34 unnamed supers who are add-ons in Obama country (Huck 2.0)!

:woohoo:

[TheDoorbellRang]

42. Oh, blessed add-ons

How could I forget them!:woohoo:

Thanks, dude!:applause:

[phrigndumass]

52. Them add-ons is sneaky, ain't they?

(p.s. I blogrolled your journal for it's saucy mathiness!)

:loveya: :yourock:

[grantcart]

39. The 34 include 27 add on delegates from Obama 'heavy' states

(Clinton gets 20) plus 7 'Pelosi' delegates (Clinton minus 1)

[TheDoorbellRang]

44. Tis a glorious day indeed

Finally, FINALLY, the end draws near. :woohoo:

[TragedyandHope]

34. GOBAMA!

[phrigndumass]

36. ZOMG! I totally stole that! GOBAMA!

:woohoo:

[TragedyandHope]

37. Steal away! Maybe Skinner can add it to the forum Smilies

Share and enjoy!

[helderheid]

38. That would ROCK!!!!

[BattyDem]

65. I vote for the Gobama smiley to be added to the forum smilies

I'll understand if we have to wait until he's officially the nominee, but we NEED that smiley! B-)

[dbmk]

40. Can someone tell me where I can find the score on Hillarys site?

Would like to see if there is a disconnect between the two campaigns.

But it appears a subjected not talked about at hillaryclinton.com.

[grantcart]

46. They prefer to use their own numbers but here it is

Hillary has frap qatlle shizzle barkel pledge delegates

She has brikkle pratz wurlack super delegates


Their magic number? Shazzam.

[phrigndumass]

49. Sha-fucking-zam!

:rofl: :rofl: :rofl: :yourock:

[phrigndumass]

67. I made an appointment tomorrow at the tattoo parlor to have it tattooed on my ass!

My very first tattoo will read:

The Huckabee Index: 0

It's going on the right butt cheek, of course. I'm hoping to grow a couple festering pustules in the middle of the 0 for the eyes!

[ShadowLiberal]

41. I don't get it, where do you get the 1869.5 number from? Shouldn't we celebrate at 2024.5?

I've read that you used 34 not yet selected add on delegates almost certain to go to Obama, but at 1869.5 even with those 34 add ons to come Obama would still need 121 more delegates to lock up the nomination.

[phrigndumass]

43. The polls take care of the rest of the pledged delegates :)

West Virginia 35.5% (-29) 10 delegates
Kentucky 37.5% (-25) 20 delegates
Oregon 56.0% (+12) 30 delegates
Puerto Rico 43.5% (-13) 24 delegates
South Dakota 56.0% (+12) 9 delegates
Montana No Poll (+0) 8 delegates

101 delegates for Senator Obama will make it impossible for Senator Clinton to reach 2024.5.

[grantcart]

47. and the delegate projections off of these numbers have been very accurate.

[dbmk]

48. If I apply those specfic spreads

I get BO 97 - HRC 120. Thats applied evenly over all the districts.

That is a strict way of calculating it - and it might be too tight given that the thresholds rarely kicks in over all districts at the same time.

Oh; And it gives Hillary the odd delegate if we are right on a threshold like at 50-50 in Montana.

[phrigndumass]

54. Conservatism with Obama's numbers always gets us into trouble, lol

I was being too conservative at first because I wanted to be kind to Clinton's numbers, but the results were always off by one or two. Then I set my spreadsheets to round up for Obama and give the remainder to Clinton, and instantly I was right on the nose most of the time after that.

I guess ya gotta be cruel to be kind!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-JJ7oGHwMTI

:headbang:

[me b zola]

51. K&R

:headbang:

[grantcart]

53. got one more

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=5901997&mesg_id=5907633

[phrigndumass]

56. DING DING DING ... Huckabee Index at *** 3 *** !!!!!!

Thanks to grantcart, show him some love! :loveya:

Huckabee Index: 3

[Amimnoch]

57. Congratulations Obama supporters!

Well, I can close out this primary season knowing I did my best for the candidate that I supported. I sent what cash I could reasonably afford to Senator Clinton's campaign. I phone banked for her campaign for the Texas primary/caucus, and gave her my support at both. Pretty much once Texas was done, my ability to support her campaign (other than chatboard) support was over until the General.

Still hoping she pulls off some miracle, but I don't see it happening.

Congratulations Senator Obama supporters. He has run a magnificant race. I'll support for the general, you can count on that, but sadly, there isn't much chance of my states electoral votes going to him with or without my support.. but will do what I can!

[Egnever]

58. You rock!

thanks for that post!

[phrigndumass]

59. Thank you for those words, Amimnoch! :)

Senator Clinton is definitely a fighter! She will go down in history as the first female presidential candidate who actually had an extremely good, legitimate chance at winning! We can't forget that. She has made it easier for the next female presidential candidate to walk through that door. She busted it wide open!

Your support of her campaign helped her do that.

:hi:

[grantcart]

61. Victory on 11/4

[DevonRex]

62. Thank you! Glad to have you on board. nt

[rocktivity]

70. You could teach a LOT of people around here about grace in defeat

Welcome to DU, and let's get ready to kick some GOP ass!

:toast:
rocknation

[Amimnoch]

72. Thank you! Have been here for a while now though :)

Much more of an avid daily reader than a poster though.

[myrna minx]

73. Amimnoch, I know it's heartbreaking when your candidate of choice doesn't get the prize

(I cried my eyes out in 2004 and after Gore's presidency was stolen) but know that we are all in it together to defeat McCain. And I think you rock. :yourock:

[SaveAmerica]

86. That's a very lovely post, we're in this thing together...

[Major Hogwash]

64. Wow.

You are good.

[quantass]

66. Huck Her! Hillary is going to get Hucked tonite!

[SoCalDem]

69. he needs to get to a number that INCLUDES FL & MI ..as they are

if that number is 22whatever..the supers owe him that..


then he can say let 'em in ..as is..

[nxylas]

74. Question: can the Huckabee Index go up as well as down?

I mean, could it hit zero and then a superdelegate defect from Obama to Clinton and push it back up to 1 or 2? Or once it hits zero, is it game over?

[Buzz Clik]

88. Actually, it can go up even if the polls change.

The Huck Index is a bit odd and highly theoretical.

[helderheid]

75. kick

[grantcart]

76. are we there yet?

[DerekJ]

78. are we there yet?

http://ia.media-imdb.com/images/M/MV5BMTQ5NDA5MjEwNV5BMl5BanBnXkFtZTcwMzc5NzcyMQ@@._V1._SY140_SX100_.jpg

[DevonRex]

79. Are we there yet??????? nt

[Buzz Clik]

77. Three and holding? Pelosi's Posse is becoming irrelevant.

[grantcart]

81. not true

the Huckabee formula counts 9 Pelosi delegates as part of the equation.

There are probably more but the assumption is that it will pull the nine who have publicly committed to it.

[Buzz Clik]

87. Seriously? bleh.

I definitely hedge my bets far more than that.

In my mind, the Huck number needs to be cranked up to match only those who have publicly declared.

[BattyDem]

80. According to Obama's web site he's got 1869 delegates.

He's half a delegate away from the Huckabee index! :bounce:

[grantcart]

82. just a hint look again

[BattyDem]

85. YES!!!!

:woohoo: :party: :woohoo: :party: :woohoo: :party: :woohoo:

[Yukari Yakumo]

83. *** Zero ***

Number of Total Delegates Needed to Huckabee Senator Clinton - 1,869.5

Total Delegates according to http://www.barackobama.com - 1870

[grantcart]

84. shhh new thread imminent