Analysis: Under Clinton Rules, Obama Still Wins.

[VolcanoJen]

From Politico, an article that Lanny Davis should really have a look at:

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0508/10247.html

Barack Obama can fully accept Hillary Rodham Clinton’s terms on Michigan and Florida and still win a majority of pledged Democratic delegates on June 1, allowing him to lay claim to the nomination under the New York senator’s own rules.

A Politico analysis of the delegate numbers after Tuesday’s primaries in North Carolina and Indiana shows Obama can concede to Clinton’s position on Michigan and Florida and still claim victory — potentially forestalling the Democratic nightmare scenario of a floor fight at the Denver convention.

The Clinton campaign rejected the premise of Politico’s analysis, dismissing it as “artificial metrics” that “might make for interesting cocktail party conversation” but would give Obama no legitimate claim on the nomination.

But the numbers could add to Obama’s growing strategic advantage. Some background: The magic number of pledged delegates — excluding Florida and Michigan, which were stripped of their delegates for holding early, unsanctioned primaries — is 1,627 to have a definitive majority.

Obama will reach that threshold on May 20, after the Kentucky and Oregon primaries, and plans to declare victory.

The Democratic National Committee sets the clinching number at 2,025 pledged delegates and superdelegates, excluding Florida and Michigan. The rationale of the Obama camp is that hitting 1,627 means the candidate is a lock for the higher DNC number also, because superdelegates are unlikely to overturn voting results.

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A banner day for Barack Obama, as most sources agree he has now surpassed Clinton in superdelegates. He now leads in superdelegates, pledged delegates, and the popular vote. This is a pretty damned exciting time, DUers!! Can you believe we're finally here?? :grouphug:

[anonymous171]

1. But what about square mileage won?

[Levgreee]

2. Alaska is the biggest state I believe, good for Obama. And he gets half of Texas.

[roseBudd]

4. Yes! Appartently sparsely populated areas where real Americans live count for more!

Since they are hard working ones!

[Exultant Democracy]

9. the electoral college shows that someone thinks that is true.

[VolcanoJen]

5. ROFL

Looking at that map of the west, and the south, I think Obama takes it!

;-)

[featherman]

8. Square miles is another Obama win. Soon to add MT, OR, SD to boot

[kwenu]

3. Under Clinton rules, only Clinton can win. The rest are just minor details.

[quantass]

6. k

[TahitiNut]

7. What's that I hear? Do I hear the goalpost movers coming? I think I do.

:evilgrin:

[VolcanoJen]

10. The new magic number? 5,643. In metric, too!

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