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When was the last time a "presumptive" nominee lost this badly in one of the last primaries?

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Carrieyazel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:54 PM
Original message
When was the last time a "presumptive" nominee lost this badly in one of the last primaries?
Hillary was supposed to be running on fumes and some predicted that Obama would close at least a small portion of the gap, since the nomination is in the bag and Hillary is done. He couldn't go down this badly, even in West Virginia. Instead, he gets crushed by almost 40 points.

Obama has a problem here. The media could make this into "grave doubts about Obama" in the general.
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:55 PM
Response to Original message
1. Bill Clinton said she would win 80 percent of the vote....looks like Obama beat expectations
Edited on Tue May-13-08 10:55 PM by Wolsh
and he didn't even challenge for the state.
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tabatha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:56 PM
Response to Original message
2. Obama does not have a problem.
It is the people who won't vote for a black who have the problem.

HUGE.
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enid602 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 11:00 PM
Response to Reply #2
12. race
It's even worse when the candidate is of both races. No, I take it back, voting against someone because of whatever racial background is bad, especially when there are so many issues at stake.
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:56 PM
Response to Original message
3. I think it was Carter in 1976
but you can check that. I'm going to bed.
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dubeskin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:56 PM
Response to Original message
4. It was expected
And there was wild speculation that Obama would lose by even a greater margin than what actually happened. And you have to look at the demographics of WV. Quick, name the capital and another large industrial city! The rural votes largely outnumber anything else, and also, it doesn't really matter anymore. Will Obama take WV in November? I'll let you answer that for yourself...
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thoughtcrime1984 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:56 PM
Response to Original message
5. You want us to admit he is a shitty candidate, just say it.
........................
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:57 PM
Response to Original message
6. "Obama has a problem here."
We'll see.
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Johnny__Motown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:57 PM
Response to Original message
7. When was the last time someone stayed in beyond any hope of winning and played the race card in
a southern state?
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Petrushka Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-14-08 12:20 AM
Response to Reply #7
23. If I remember what I learned in grade-school correctly, West Virginia is a mid-Atlantic state.
:shrug:
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Ken Burch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:57 PM
Response to Original message
8. Why do you still even want her to go on?
There's nothing positive that would come of her stealing the nom from the people's candidate.

She doesn't represent anyone.

And her campaign tactics prove that she can't be a progressive president.

You can't win ugly and govern pretty.
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WA98070 Donating Member (782 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:58 PM
Response to Original message
9. Usually the looser has had enough class to step down before something like this would happen.
Edited on Tue May-13-08 10:58 PM by WA98070
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Condem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:58 PM
Response to Original message
10. Don't you think the problem is West Virginia?
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:59 PM
Response to Original message
11. and the world yawned
You're wrong. No one cares about the outcome in West Va except a handful of Hillary fans who can't accept their girl has lost.
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emilyg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-14-08 12:27 AM
Response to Reply #11
24. It's been on all the news chanels all night.
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 11:02 PM
Response to Original message
13. Happens more often than you'd think....

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Skarbrowe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 11:02 PM
Response to Original message
14. It would have been worse for Obama if she had dropped out.
If he had gotten beaten by 40 points or so by a candidate that had dropped out...well, I think it's better for him now if she stays in.
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Rosa Luxemburg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 11:02 PM
Response to Original message
15. Obama won states like Nebraska 68% to Clint's 32, CO 67% 32
Edited on Tue May-13-08 11:04 PM by bambino
Kansas 74%

so what's the big deal about WV?
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charlie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 11:03 PM
Response to Original message
16. Hillary 2008
Presumptive nominee until she got her doors blown off coming out of the gate. Her "last" primaries on Feb 5 weren't much better.
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Seabiscuit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 11:03 PM
Response to Original message
17. More importantly, this could affect the voting in the upcoming primaries.
Particularly in Oregon, where Obama is heavily favored to win. What if she pulls an Indiana on him there?

What if it continues like a tidal wave right through into June?

The Super Delegates are going to have to sit up and pay attention.

67%-26% is a shocker by any measure at this stage in the campaign.
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 11:04 PM
Response to Reply #17
20. Pulls an Indiana?????
She was ahead by an average of 6 points in all polls the week before the primary.

So you think she's going to lose 6 points?

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Condem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 11:05 PM
Response to Reply #17
22. Yup, Seabiscuit
Like NC, I'm sure your prediction will be dead on. Why are you even weighing in?
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Occam Bandage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 11:03 PM
Response to Original message
18. Carter, '76. And pretty much everyone was predicting a 35-45 Hillary win.
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John Q. Citizen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 11:04 PM
Response to Original message
19. The last time this happened, the presumtive nominee became president.
The winner of the late primary went on to become the mayor of Oakland. I bet Sen. Clinton couldn't be elected mayor of Oakland, though.

What do you think?

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CakeGrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 11:05 PM
Response to Original message
21. Obama didn't have a problem in CO or ID or ND or IA or ME or WI or...
...you get my drift.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-14-08 12:28 AM
Response to Original message
25. Jimmy Carter in 1976...How did that turn out?
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