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Anybody know what the expected turnout is for Kentucky or Oregon?

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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-14-08 11:47 PM
Original message
Anybody know what the expected turnout is for Kentucky or Oregon?
Edited on Wed May-14-08 11:58 PM by hnmnf
Been trying to figure this out for a week or so now, but havent been able to.
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Kittycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-14-08 11:51 PM
Response to Original message
1. KY - Big Clinton win. OR - Big Obama win.
I think he's up around 15+pts in OR right now. One poll had him at 20.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-14-08 11:57 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. I'm talking in terms of total voters, not percentage of victory.
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hayu_lol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-15-08 12:00 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. Here in Oregon with our vote by mail only situation...
we generally vote in the 70/80% bracket. Might go higher this time around.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-15-08 12:01 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. Any idea how many registered dems there are?
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hogwyld Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-15-08 12:03 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. There's been an aggressive registration drive
throughout the state, so I am sure that our ranks have swelled a lot.
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davidpdx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-15-08 12:08 AM
Response to Original message
6. Here are the stats on Oregon
Edited on Thu May-15-08 12:10 AM by davidpdx
We have vote by mail. We have seen a surge in voter registration (as have other states) as well as many people changing party affiliation to vote in the D primary.

2004 Primary-46.4%
http://www.oregonvotes.org/may182004/p04stats.pdf

2004 General-86.48%
http://www.oregonvotes.org/nov22004/g04stats.pdf

2000 Primary-40%
http://www.oregonvotes.org/may162000/stats.pdf

2000 General-79.8%
http://www.oregonvotes.org/nov72000/other.info/genstats.pdf

If I had to make a bet on turnout for the primary I'd say about 55%.
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neverforget Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-15-08 12:09 AM
Response to Original message
7. Voter turnout in Multnomah County (Portland) Oregon is about 22%
so far. That will quickly increase by Tuesday to about 50-60% (my guess).

Link to Multnomah County Elections:
http://www.mcelections.org/2008-05/turnout.shtml
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