THE MATH Widget - Monday, May 19

[phrigndumass]

Sources:
FiveThirtyEight.com
Electoral-Vote.com
Intrade
RCP Average

Edited to add:
Past editions of THE MATH

[Aloha Spirit]

1. Did you read 538 today? Pelosi's path to the White House?!!!

Tied EV 269/269
--> House delegations vote (one vote per state). This could easily not produce the 26 vote majority needed.
--> If no House agreement, then the Senate votes on the Vice President, who becomes the acting President. The Senate could also tie.
--> NANCY PELOSI is next in the chain of command and becomes President.

[phrigndumass]

2. What? Nancy for President?

I'll check it out, lol! 538 was my next stop anyway, but I think I'll spend some time there today.

:D

[phrigndumass]

4. I checked it out, amazing!

I recall in 2000 discussing what happens if the contest ends in a tie. Of course, then Al Gore was the Senate President and Denny Hastert was the House Speaker. :scared:

[Aloha Spirit]

6. Do you think Pelosi has a better shot at the White House than HC?

Pelosi needs favorable outcomes in three events, with a probability of, let's say, 0.6%, 6% and 3%.
So, Pelosi's chances are about 0.001%. Is this greater or less than Hillary's odds? :think:

[phrigndumass]

8. LOL!

Pelosi's odds are about 0.001% greater ...

[Pab Sungenis]

7. It won't happen.

We'll have 51 votes in the Senate, and would select a Democratic Vice-President under that scenario.

[papau]

3. Ever read Salon - agrees with 538 and EV that the Starbuck's choice Obama has work to do

[phrigndumass]

5. Yes ... he definitely has work to do

But it's early yet. Salon is always a good read.

:hi:

[Scurrilous]

9. K & R

:thumbsup:

[phrigndumass]

10. lunch kick

[Coexist]

11. cool

those numbers will move after the first debate.

[myrna minx]

12. While all of those are fantastic, those intrade numbers are amazing!

:hi: