Battleground State Analysis

[mkultra]

There is a alot of talk going around regarding the massive electability difference of Hillary in Key battleground states.

I decided to take my own look using realClearPolotics which has selected what it things are the upcoming battleground states and has running averges of ALL polls that are taken.

The following is a side by side comparison of these states and what the vote totals would be. bear in mind, this is Just battle ground states.




Poll Won Poll Won
McCain Obama M O McCain Clinton M C
Ohio (20 Electoral Votes) 45 43 20 41 50 20
Pennsylvania (21 EV) 40 46 21 39 49 21
Florida (27 EV) 49 40 27 44 45 27
Wisconsin (10 EV) 44 46 10 46 43 10
Iowa (7 EV) 41 47 7 45 42 7
Minnesota (10 EV) 39 50 10 42 47 10
Missouri (11 EV) 48 45 11 46 48 11
New Mexico (5 EV) 41 50 5 49 46 5
Nevada (5 EV) 47 39 5 44 43 5
Colorado (9 EV) 42 48 9 47 44 9
Michigan (17 EV) 43 44 17 44 41 17
New Hampshire (4 EV) 48 43 4 47 43 4
New Jersey (15 EV) 40 49 15 42 47 15
Virginia (13 EV) 47 41 13 49 39 13
North Carolina (15 EV) 49 43 15 44 42 15
Georgia (15 EV) 53 40 15 48 37 15
Oregon (7 EV) 49 39 7 44 43 7
Washington (11 EV) 39 49 11 42 44 11
California (55 EV) 41 49 55 41 48 55

117 160 107 170






im sure its hard to make out but the final tally is with Clinton winning 170/107 versus Obama winning 160/117.

This doesn't take into account the addition of what could be considered NEW battle ground states considering national sentiment against republicans.

Current national poll averages have Obama over McCain 47/43 while clinton is only 46/44.

Also, Both McCain and Obama have a 38% UNFAVORABLE rating nationally while Hillary sports a huge 46%


If Obama was clinton, he could call this a Dead heat :)



wow, this got messed up. Let me correct with a picture.

[Texas Hill Country]

1. you skip WV and AR, which Clinton will win, Obama will not...