phrigndumass
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Tue May-27-08 06:56 AM
Original message |
THE MATH Daily Widget – Tuesday, May 27 – Wigand +0.00 – Total +0.10 |
Coexist
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Tue May-27-08 06:57 AM
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berni_mccoy
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Tue May-27-08 06:59 AM
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2. The NH Data just can't be correct. NH is BLUE BLUE BLUE for Obama. |
phrigndumass
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Tue May-27-08 07:01 AM
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4. Oops, you're right. I need to update my map. Figures are still counted for blue NH though |
berni_mccoy
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Tue May-27-08 08:26 AM
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11. Thanks! And thanks for doing this. I love the daily widget! |
jefferson_dem
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Tue May-27-08 06:59 AM
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For the hard numbers.
:kick:
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mod mom
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Tue May-27-08 07:02 AM
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SoCalDem
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Tue May-27-08 07:11 AM
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6. With Barr in, he wins Alaska & maybe even Georgia |
phrigndumass
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Tue May-27-08 07:17 AM
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7. Great! I can't wait to see that affected on Intrade and in the polls |
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I think I need to create a Perot column on my spreadsheet for Barr, lol!
:hi:
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SoCalDem
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Tue May-27-08 07:22 AM
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8. In Alaska McCain came in BEHIND Paul & Huckabee |
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and they are tired of all the republican scandals..and Barr is a Son of Georgia :)
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phrigndumass
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Tue May-27-08 07:25 AM
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9. LOL! Didn't know that. In 50 years of statehood ... |
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I wonder if Alaska has ever voted for a presidential candidate other than a Republican.
:D
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grantcart
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Tue May-27-08 01:42 PM
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16. If Barr tries really hard Arizona comes into play where McCain only getting 50% now |
fight4my3sons
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Tue May-27-08 07:39 AM
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10. thank you once again for putting this together |
shagsak
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Tue May-27-08 08:32 AM
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12. thanks for the facts! |
dbmk
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Tue May-27-08 08:40 AM
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Edited on Tue May-27-08 08:40 AM by dbmk
NH is not as blue as I would like. Intrade is hovering around 50 and the polls have been all over the place.
Pretty sure that will change once he is finally established as the nominee, though.
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phrigndumass
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Tue May-27-08 01:03 PM
Response to Reply #13 |
14. Did you notice the widgets? :) |
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:D
I'll bet you're right ... once Obama has the golden ticket, the percentage of undecideds will go down.
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dbmk
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Tue May-27-08 01:39 PM
Response to Reply #14 |
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Edited on Tue May-27-08 01:39 PM by dbmk
Just the codemonkey, though - you guys came up with the system.
An interesting note for everyone else, btw: We loaded the numbers for the Rasmussen Markets, that is basically Intrade with play money. And the numbers are surprisingly similar. Most of them are in within +/- 4 of the Intrade numbers.
Both markets predict an Obama win with 293 delegates atm.
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Drunken Irishman
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Tue May-27-08 01:43 PM
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17. Give NH to Obama, recent Rasmussen (right-leaning) poll has him winning there. |
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This is the first real signs of McCain struggling, since he camped out there in 2000 and 2008. This is essentially McCain's second home and there is no reason he shouldn't take it easily. Yet his campaign is struggling up there.
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phrigndumass
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Tue May-27-08 01:51 PM
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19. Thanks, that was an oops on my part ... |
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I changed the polls blue for New Hampshire in my spreadsheets when the Rasmussen poll came out, but I forgot to create a new map with the change.
:dunce:
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grantcart
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Tue May-27-08 10:59 PM
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23. I came up with the name - real tough lol |
grantcart
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Tue May-27-08 01:44 PM
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18. I think Intrade is the most interesting at this point because it reflects the same |
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type of thinking that will mirror Republican contributors.
It seems to me that these numbers point to a real fundraising problem for McCain.
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Ysabel
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Tue May-27-08 02:51 PM
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MadBadger
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Tue May-27-08 02:55 PM
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21. New Poll numbers out of Iowa: SUSA: Obama 47, McCain 38 |
phrigndumass
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Tue May-27-08 03:20 PM
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Thanks for pointing that out. Wow, that's 15% undecided, I wonder how SUSA asked the poll questions ...
:hi:
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Wed May 01st 2024, 06:30 AM
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