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Campaigns & Elections Mag puts Prez race as toss-up.

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Pepperbelly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-17-04 06:20 PM
Original message
Campaigns & Elections Mag puts Prez race as toss-up.
I follow the Political Oddsmaker which has a pretty good track record on calling elections. They have had Bush the favorite for a long time but as the weeks have passed, the odds have been creeping out way. This site also a neato search feature that lets you look at odds on local races as well.

Check it out.

http://www.campaignline.com/oddsmaker/?CFID=442047&CFTOKEN=49496715
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West Coast Democrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-17-04 06:23 PM
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1. He used to list his past odds, and the dates he revised them....
he doesn't do that anymore. Too bad!
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Pepperbelly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-17-04 06:27 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. It's been a slow process ...
but you know how these guys work. 50/49 is pretty damned even I'd say. I think it started with 60%. Now, THAT was disheartening.
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PROGRESSIVE1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-17-04 06:30 PM
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3. He says that the Repugs will keep the Senate.
Is this true? I hope not.
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Pepperbelly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-17-04 06:38 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. He keeps up all the way through the elections and things do change.
A lot.

No vacum here and close attention to events as they occur.

Who can say? In my homestate, Arkansas, his 60% liklihood for Blanche Lincoln is pretty much right on. Others will have to evaluate the rest of the races.
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