Rasmussen, 6/12 - Obama 47%, McCain 41%

[highplainsdem]

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Barack Obama attracting 47% of the vote while John McCain earns 41%. When “leaners” are included, Obama still holds a six-point advantage, 50% to 44%. Obama has clearly received a modest bounce since clinching the nomination. Prior to his final victory on June 3, he was essentially even with McCain. Now, Obama has enjoyed a five-to-eight point advantage on each of the past seven days (see recent daily results). New polling shows that the Obama bounce has also given the Democrat his largest lead of the year in Iowa, Washington, and Michigan.

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Obama currently leads by eleven points among women but trails by a single point among men (including leaners). Thirty-nine percent (39%) of women say they are certain they will vote for Obama in November. Another 10% say they would vote for him today but could change their mind, and 3% are leaning towards voting for Obama. For McCain those numbers are 30% certain, 8% who could change their mind, and 3% leaning towards voting for him.

Thirty-six percent (36%) of men are certain they will vote for McCain while 34% say the same about Obama. See other demographic notes (Note: Premium Members can review crosstabs for the last full-week of polling).

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Opinions are held more strongly about Obama--33% have a Very Favorable opinion of the Democratic hopeful while 27% hold a Very Unfavorable opinion. For McCain, those numbers are 18% Very Favorable and 18% Very Unfavorable. As with the topline numbers, these ratings reflect a slight softening for Obama and little change for McCain (see recent daily favorables).