Bush NEVER trailed Kerry in the 2004 NBC/WSJ polls - Obama wins with this trend!

[powergirl]

Assuming this trend continues Obama Wins!

PUTTING OBAMA'S LEAD IN PERSPECTIVE

"From NBC's Mark Murray
In the latest NBC/WSJ poll, Obama leads McCain by six points (47%-41%) among registered voters. While polls can't accurately gauge an election five months out -- after all, so much can still happen -- it's worth putting Obama's lead into this perspective: Bush never trailed Kerry in the 2004 NBC/WSJ polls that measured registered voters' preference for Bush, Kerry, and Nader. And Bush's lead was never bigger than four points.

"Bush won that presidential election by three percentage points, 51%-48%.

"Here were the NBC/WSJ trial heats from March 2004 (when Kerry pretty much locked up the nomination) to late October 2004:
March (Mar.6-8): Bush 46%, Kerry 43%, Nader 5%
May (May 1-3): Bush 46%, Kerry 42%, Nader 5%
June (June 25-28): Bush 45%, Kerry 44%, Nader 4%
July (July 19-21): Bush 47%, Kerry 45%, Nader 2%
August (Aug.23-25): Bush 47%, Kerry 45%, Nader 3%
September (Sept.17-19): Bush 48%, Kerry 45%, Nader 2%
Mid October (Oct.16-18): Bush 48%, Kerry 46%, Nader 2%
Late October (Oct.29-31): Bush 48%, Kerry 47%, Nader 1%"

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/




:woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo:

[TheDonkey]

1. Interesting, good for perspective but Obama needs to have a very good cushion

because there are definitely people lying to pollsters that say they will vote for Obama and NOT vote for him. We need to make sure the GOTV and new voter registration is high for us.

[powergirl]

3. You are right - but it's always better to be on this side of the poll

than the other. I remember stressing over this in 2004 because Kerry was always just a tad behind. But you are right Donkey! Obama should increase that lead since this poll was taken on or near the day that Clinton conceded - while everyone still had bad feelings.

[sandnsea]

2. They intentionally stuck Nader in there

to make sure. Because we wouldn't have wanted anybody to get all excited about Kerry beating Bush. It might have made those independents question what they were doing.