McCain trending downward in swing states

[27inCali]

according to the latest stuff at RealClearPolitics.com

McCain is trending downward in Florida, Ohio, Michigan, Viriginia, North Carolina, Mississipi, New Mexico.

Michigan had been looking like a bright spot for McCain given the Primary shenanigans there, but MI is now moving towards Obama.

Perhaps the biggest symbolic problem for the GOP is Mississippi, McCain has lost substantial ground over the last two months. Mississippi is the heart of the South and should be absolutely safe for him, though McCain holds only a modest lead of 6 points, if he's forced to campaign there between now and NOV the moral defeat for the GOP would be obvious. Everyone is going to say I am crazy to think there's a shot at Mississippi and that we should focus on Viriginia, North Carolina, New Mexico and Colorado, Nevada -but I say the spread in Nevada is about the same as in Mississippi, both are in our reach to at least make really competitive.

Everyone expects Obama to campaign in Nevada, no one expects Mississippi, if he did you know the news will be all over it and there actually will be a few conservative leaning independents around the country who might just find the brogadacio of it all, taking the fight right into the lions den, absolutely irresistible.

that coupled with intense voter registration may not put Mississippi or Nevada in Obama's column but may just give us a few more seats in the House, but more importantly force the GOP to waste their precious money in states that should have been safe.

[AllentownJake]

1. We got 5 months

Make a day jaunt through Mississippi and see if it moves the polls. If it does go again.

[ananda]

2. I really think that a candidate should..

.. campaign in every state.

Otherwise, people have a way of feeling slighted
or left out.

[rox63]

3. Obama needs to make an appearance in every state

Even if he concentrates more on the swing states, having him show up at least once in each state would really send a positive message. There are more states in play this year than most people think. The 50-state strategy is working wonderfully. Thank you, Dr. Dean.

[CanonRay]

4. Nevada is ripe for picking

There is a huge libertarian wing in among Rethugs, and they hate McSame, and will likely vote for Barr. Meanwhile, the independent vote is going to swing for Obama big time. Lots of first time Hispanic voters.

[Cheap_Trick]

5. so much for the "but he can't win the swing states" meme

from a few weeks back....

Another meme bites the dust.

[seasat]

6. I'm curious about the next poll out of Florida.

The only recent polls were from before the committee met to seat the Florida delegation and Clinton conceded. The polls that used "likely voters" were showing a low double digit gap while the polls that used "registered voters" were showing a low single digit gap. I'm curious as to what kind of bump he gets.