book_worm
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Fri Jun-20-08 10:11 AM
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Survey USA: Obama up by four in Iowa |
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Obama: 49% InSane: 45% 18-34 61-32 Obama 35-49 48-47 Obama 50-64 47-46 Obama 65 plus 49-42 InSane http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=851c4ef8-c6f2-499a-8d2f-bafdb824728b
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Hope And Change
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Fri Jun-20-08 10:16 AM
Response to Original message |
thewiseguy
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Fri Jun-20-08 10:16 AM
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2. Is it me or the poll shows McCain winning the black vote in Iowa? |
liskddksil
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Fri Jun-20-08 10:20 AM
Response to Reply #2 |
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Black voters make up only 2% of the model, meaning that there is a high margin of error in that demographic group.
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On the Road
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Fri Jun-20-08 11:17 AM
Response to Reply #4 |
13. Might Also be Some Misleading Answers |
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by the respondents. I never considered that much of a factor, but in this case maybe it is.
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speedoo
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Fri Jun-20-08 10:22 AM
Response to Reply #2 |
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But there are very few blacks in the sample (consistent with Iowa demographics, I assume) so it has little impact on the overall result.
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Barack_America
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Fri Jun-20-08 10:23 AM
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2% for African Americans and 1% for Hispanics.
Though SUSA has consistently underestimated Obama's support among blacks. It baffles me. It has to be something in their methodology; who they call, how they determine the race of the subject (i.e. by asking, "hey are you black?" vs. having that data in front of them), etc.
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thewiseguy
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Fri Jun-20-08 10:27 AM
Response to Reply #8 |
11. Their last poll gave Obama 82% of the black vote |
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Edited on Fri Jun-20-08 10:28 AM by thewiseguy
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=34d61abd-3c0a-441c-b337-262ffcf3489aIn fact this is the least that Obama has led McCain in Iowa. I suspect that is this latest poll is corrected then his lead would be 7 points.
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mohc
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Fri Jun-20-08 10:25 AM
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9. Based on the overall sample size |
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And their reported percentages of the black vote, it was most like 6-5 McCain-Obama. A sample size of 11 would have a margin of error around 30%, making the percentages almost meaningless.
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Fluffdaddy
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Fri Jun-20-08 10:18 AM
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3. Means nothing.......to early |
Barack_America
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Fri Jun-20-08 10:21 AM
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Edited on Fri Jun-20-08 10:22 AM by Kristi1696
wrong spot.
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AndyTiedye
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Fri Jun-20-08 10:21 AM
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6. Why Are These All So Close? |
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Almost every poll shows McInsane within election-stealing distance of a "win", or worse.
It's gonna be another "horse race" and we know what that means.
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book_worm
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Fri Jun-20-08 10:25 AM
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10. Because it probably is going to be another close election. |
AndyTiedye
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Fri Jun-20-08 11:09 AM
Response to Reply #10 |
12. If It is Close, They'll Steal It Again |
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Why is it even close? Why does anybody want McMoreofthesame to be President?
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Thrill
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Fri Jun-20-08 02:16 PM
Response to Original message |
14. More Proof of these Pollsters fudging the Polls to make it seem close |
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Obama losing the AA vote to McCain? Give me a damn break
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Sat May 04th 2024, 10:43 PM
Response to Original message |