USA Today/Gallup poll 6/20: Obama 48%, McCain 42%

[BluegrassDem]

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-06-20-poll-friday_N.htm

WASHINGTON — Illinois Sen. Barack Obama hasn't gotten much of a bounce among voters nationwide since clinching the Democratic presidential nomination, a new USA TODAY/Gallup Poll shows.
Obama leads Republican John McCain by 48%-42% among registered voters in the survey, taken Sunday through Thursday. In a survey taken May 30 to June 1, Obama held a three-point lead over the Arizona senator.

Among likely voters, Obama led McCain by 50%-44%, an insignificant change from his earlier standing of 49%-44%.

Obama claimed the nomination on June 3, when primaries in Montana and South Dakota gave him a majority of delegates to the Democratic National Convention, meeting in August.

The survey of 1,625 adults — including 1,460 registered voters and 1,310 likely voters — has a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.


• Women support Obama by 14 points while men back McCain by 3 points.

• Whites support McCain by 6 points while blacks almost unanimously back Obama, who is the first African-American to claim a major party's presidential nomination. Of 130 blacks surveyed, 129 support the Illinois senator.

• Young people back Obama while seniors support McCain. Among those 18 to 29 years old, Obama holds a better than 2-1 edge. Among those 65 and older, McCain leads, 49%-40%.

[woolldog]

1. The one AA who said he doesn't support Obama in that poll....

is lying.

:rofl:

[democrattotheend]

2. Those numbers look pretty good to me

Despite the headline, I am pretty encouraged by these numbers. If Obama wins women by 14 points and loses men by 3, he should win by a healthy margin. And if he only loses whites by 6 points he will win the popular vote in a landslide.

[TheDonkey]

10. Seriously, these headlines are messed up. Obama leading by 6 points is very encouraging

do these writers think that Obama should be blowing McCain out by like 14 points??? The electorate is still very divided partisan and McSame has gotten a free pass from the media.

[Drunken Irishman]

3. If Obama only loses the white vote by 6 points, we're looking at a blowout.

[woolldog]

4. Then why is he only up by 6 points overall in the poll???

[DarthDem]

6. *Electoral* Blowout

Not necessarily a popular vote blowout - - but still quite a convincing win.

[BluegrassDem]

8. 6% popular vote win would feel like a blowout compared to 2000 & 2004

The past elections have been so razor thin that 6% is a lot. If Obama can win the popular vote by 6%, that would be an electoral landslide.

[Drunken Irishman]

9. Sorry, I meant an electoral blowout.

We're looking at Obama easily clearing 330 electoral votes if this holds up.

[Pirate Smile]

5. Will the media ever notice that this has been a momentum-less election? There really haven't been

any bounces. That is how it was during the Primaries. That is what it looks like in the General.

[Thrill]

7. Damn. He should not be leading with Seniors like that.

[Barack_America]

11. This tells me that most Dems accepted Obama as their nominee long before he "clinched".

That explains the apparent lack of a "bump".

But I guess that interpretation isn't sufficiently negative. So, let me rephrase...


OH NOES!!11!!11 PAS DE BUMP! WE ARe SURElY DOOOoMED!!