npincus
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Sun Jul-20-08 06:08 AM
Original message |
Charlie Cook: "GOP is Losing Ground" (Senate Repubs in trouble...) |
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:rofl: Buh-bye... http://www.nationaljournal.com/njmagazine/cr_20080716_3253.phpIn the Senate races, the outlook for the GOP is bad and getting worse. Few Republicans think that they have any real hope of holding retiring Sen. John Warner's seat in Virginia. Former Gov. Mark Warner, who is a Democrat, appears to have a lock on that contest, which The Cook Political Report rates as "Likely Democratic." In New Mexico, where Republican Sen. Pete Domenici is retiring, GOP Rep. Steve Pearce is the underdog, trailing Democratic Rep. Tom Udall in a contest that we moved this week from the "Toss-Up" column to "Leans Democratic."
In Oregon, Republican Sen. Gordon Smith faces an increasingly difficult challenge from Democratic state House Speaker Jeff Merkley. The Cook Political Report this week shifted that race from "Leans Republican" to "Toss-Up." The GOP's problem isn't so much that Merkley is an especially formidable challenger; it's just that the political climate has effectively erased the natural advantages that Smith brings to the race.
Smith's contest joins five others involving Republican-held seats that we had already rated as "Toss-Ups"--those of incumbents Norm Coleman of Minnesota, John Sununu of New Hampshire, Ted Stevens of Alaska, and appointed Sen. Roger Wicker of Mississippi, as well as the open seat in Colorado where Wayne Allard is retiring. Sununu's situation is looking increasingly ominous; Coleman's stock has risen, although not quite enough to warrant a move to the "Leans Republican" category.
In North Carolina, Republican Sen. Elizabeth Dole's challenge from Democratic state Sen. Kay Hagan is getting increasingly competitive, warranting a shift from the "Likely Republican" column, effectively a watch list, to "Leans Republican," signaling that the outcome is now in doubt. This is not yet a "Toss-Up" and may not get there, but it is now a real race. Dole joins GOP Sen. Susan Collins of Maine, whose contest has been in the "Leans Republican" column since April 2007.
Democrats have targeted Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky in a race that we have now moved from the "Solid Republican" category to "Likely Republican." Even though McConnell has raised an impressive $15.2 million for the cycle and is expected to run a flawless campaign, wealthy Democratic businessman Bruce Lunsford has made a $2.5 million down payment on his race, shifting the contest to the watch list.
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yourout
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Sun Jul-20-08 06:16 AM
Response to Original message |
1. I vow to have a beer for every Senate seat we switch in Nov. |
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Hopefully I have a nice little hangover.
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Danger Mouse
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Sun Jul-20-08 10:03 AM
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12. I'm going to get so trashed that night... |
Quixote1818
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Sun Jul-20-08 11:24 AM
Response to Reply #1 |
15. Tom Udall is up by 20 points here in New Mexico. Republicans don't even want to |
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spend money on Pierce. They see that race as already lost.
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Lugnut
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Sun Jul-20-08 01:59 PM
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We should get able to get a nice buzz on.
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ayeshahaqqiqa
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Sun Jul-20-08 06:18 AM
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2. Personally, I hope we win all these seats |
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McConnell is a particularly odious person, and it would be great if he no longer walked the halls of Congress.
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GalleryGod
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Sun Jul-20-08 06:43 AM
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3. Charlie Cook is Da' Man in this Department ! Can you utter out loud the term |
yourout
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Sun Jul-20-08 06:53 AM
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4. I hope this "Tsunami" drowns the Pukes for at least a generation. |
saltpoint
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Sun Jul-20-08 07:39 AM
Response to Original message |
5. Those seats? We'll take them all. |
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Red to blue. All of them.
And in the bargain, we'd be done with some notably horrible Republican Senators.
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Vinca
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Sun Jul-20-08 08:04 AM
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6. I definitely think Shaheen will take Sununu's seat in NH. nt |
rox63
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Sun Jul-20-08 08:20 AM
Response to Reply #6 |
7. I have my doubts that Allen (D) can defeat Collins (R) in Maine |
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Edited on Sun Jul-20-08 08:20 AM by rox63
Even though I'd love to see that seat go blue. But I agree that Shaheen is looking likely to beat Su-no-no.
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Vinca
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Sun Jul-20-08 09:57 AM
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10. Agreed. Collins votes just enough against the Repub. maniacs |
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to continue to make her electable. We'll keep our fingers crossed though.
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rox63
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Sun Jul-20-08 11:31 AM
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17. I wish kinda wish Olympia Snowe would switch to Dem |
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She votes more toward the Dem POV than Collins ever has.
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moose65
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Sun Jul-20-08 08:32 AM
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I'd say that Warner in Virginia, Shaheen in NH, and Udall in NM are looking really really good. Udall in Colorado, Merkley in OR, and Begich in Alaska look pretty good. Although I would love to kick Liddy Dole to the curb, that one is going to be a struggle. An Obama landslide could give us a few surprises, too!
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berni_mccoy
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Sun Jul-20-08 08:38 AM
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9. Oh Man, That would be AWESOME if they took out McConnell! |
Colobo
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Sun Jul-20-08 09:59 AM
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11. They'll get whooped mercilessly. |
AwakeAtLast
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Sun Jul-20-08 10:25 AM
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13. K & R for the thread title alone |
barack the house
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Sun Jul-20-08 10:29 AM
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14. Keep placing local classfied ads with heartfelt pleas for Dem senators and house seats. |
Diamonique
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Sun Jul-20-08 11:27 AM
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16. I would love to see McConnell ousted. |
starroute
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Sun Jul-20-08 12:33 PM
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18. When the GOP can't win them they steal them |
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And the states named are thus the likeliest targets for voter suppression and election fraud. We'd best be thinking now about how to protect the integrity of the vote against every imaginable assault.
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scarletwoman
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Sun Jul-20-08 12:43 PM
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19. k&r for a lovely vision of the future. (nt) |
Labors of Hercules
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Sun Jul-20-08 12:46 PM
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20. I hope NC's Kay Hagen can pull it out... |
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I'll be campaigning my ass off for her.
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WillyT
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Sun Jul-20-08 01:55 PM
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Thu May 02nd 2024, 08:25 AM
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