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Call me overconfident, but yeah, barring some disastrous revelation

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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:07 AM
Original message
Call me overconfident, but yeah, barring some disastrous revelation
Edited on Thu Jul-24-08 08:08 AM by cali
I damn well do think Obama will win handily in November. And for the record, I sure didn't think Kerry would win in 2004, and long before the voting in 2000, I thought Gore made critical mistakes that would make it close.

This time around, I think Obama is the prohibitive favorite.
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:09 AM
Response to Original message
1. I agree, Obama is smart campaign.
He is poised, confident and careful. He has been damn near perfect. Amazingly, because that is what the media is demanding of him.
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:09 AM
Response to Original message
2. It will be a comfortable margin for Obama. Big EC win, closer on the popular vote
I never felt Kerry would win. But frankly, I didn't see how Gore could lose.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:11 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. The moment I felt Gore could lose was during one of the debates
there were about 15 of us crammed into the bedroom of a sick friend watching it, and we all groaned multiple times throughout the debate.
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:13 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. The debates could still change things. And look for the MSM
to try to throw every smear known to man at him.
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Virginia Dare Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:30 AM
Response to Reply #6
14. Obama will destroy McCain in the debates..
it will be like Nixon and Kennedy all over again.
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dkf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:13 AM
Response to Reply #3
7. I remember having nightmares about George Bush winning
and visualizing what I would have said if I was Gore so I imagine I thought he might lose.
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mucifer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:11 AM
Response to Original message
4. just keep up the volunteering in your area. If every volunteer decides
we've already won, we are screwed.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:12 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. I'll do some volunteering in my state, but c'mon, I live in Vermont
and no state will go more overwhelmingly for Obama. Not all areas are equally hard fought.
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mucifer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:14 AM
Response to Reply #5
8. I live in Chicago. The Obama campaign is sending us to other nearby states
They are clever that way. I went to Dabuque, Iowa last Saturday.
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speedoo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:14 AM
Response to Original message
9. Polls from yesterday/today are supporting your belief.
Florida is now statistically tied. Minnesota and NJ are solid for Obama. Only bad news recently is Ohio but I am hoping a Quinnipiac poll due out today brings some good news for Ohio.
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Labors of Hercules Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:20 AM
Response to Reply #9
10. Just wait until the poll results from this weekend come out...
When this week's trip and the turnout in Berlin will show in the polling. The MSM will go crazy, especially after shaking their heads yesterday because the polls from last weekend "showed no change"... (idiots) :eyes:

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jbane Donating Member (668 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:27 AM
Response to Original message
11. I thought the Rev. Wright blow up would be a mortal wound
To Obama's campaign but it was not. Unless the repukes are sitting on a bomb I think he will win and win fairly big. I am hoping for him to carry Virginia, he seems to be real big here in Richmond.
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Virginia Dare Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:29 AM
Response to Reply #11
13. He's very popular here in Northern Virginia as well..
I think Hilary did Obama a BIG favor by getting all of that negative stuff out, people are over it now. If there was a bomb the Clinton campaign would have dropped it.
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Virginia Dare Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:27 AM
Response to Original message
12. I agree, McCain is running a terrible campaign..
Obama is controlling the message and the tone. I'm very confident at this point.

I've gotten very positive feedback canvassing here in Virginia. Things look good.
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Benhurst Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:30 AM
Response to Original message
15. Just remember the old song. It's a long, long time from May to September,
to say nothing of November.

We shouldn't be selecting a cabinet for Obama yet. There is still an election to be won, an election which may very well be close enough to be stolen.
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Alter Ego Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:33 AM
Response to Original message
16. Confidentially, I liked Kerry, but I didn't think he had a prayer in 2004 either.
He wasn't careful about how he said things and made a lot of mistakes.

We can avoid those with Obama--and despite the media and the McAngrypants smear machine we can win.
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Dawgs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 08:48 AM
Response to Original message
17. I was nervous in 96 when it was Clinton vs. Dole.
I don't think it will be close this time.
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Peacetrain Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-24-08 09:01 AM
Response to Original message
18. Cali, I name you not overconfident but prophetic!!
Does not mean we will not work 110%, but there has been a major plate shift in the political spectrum, and the democrats are on the lead this time. We caught the republicans with their neo con pants down!.. With all the crying and gnashing of teeth on talk radio, they know it too. One of my co workers was going to send them all a couple of pampers. What a funny idea. I have this vision of diapers coming in from all over America! filling up their mail boxes. Do you think they would get a clue??
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