What's the deal in California?

[XNASA]

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Why is California now listed as "weak Kerry" in the latest poll? I thought that Kerry was up at least 18 points.

Can 'Survey USA' really be that far off that it now lists Kerry as only a 3 point favorite.

Please somebody, set my mind at ease. :shrug:

[DaveinMD]

1. this polls has been debunked

several times here. They overestimated the number of Republicans to put in the poll.

[Irishladdie]

2. Lies its all Lies!!!

No way Bush can win Cali, The Gropinator hasn't helped The Reeps that much!!!

[fujiyama]

3. Check out the following site

and click on CA.

http://www.dalythoughts.com/ca/ca.htm

You'll see a list of all polls. As you'll notice, all but maybe two or three have the state close. SUSA has messed up with the state twice now. The recent poll had more republicans than democrats.

[still_one]

4. This was the last Rasmussen poll in California

California: Kerry 55% Bush 37%

State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters

July 1-31, 2004

California 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush 37%
Kerry 55%
Other 3%
Not Sure 6%
RasmussenReports.com


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
August 3, 2004--In California, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator John F. Kerry with an18-point lead over President George W. Bush, 55% to 37%

I am from California, and I find it unbelievable what the "electoral-vote" poll says...

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. This Poll Has Been Debunked On This Board Ad Nauseum

The Survey U S A Poll "overweights" Republicans... The model assumes that there will be more Republicans than Democrats voting, 40% to 37% ,when Democrats hold a huge lead in registration....


It also assumes that Chimpy will get 28%* of the African American vote in Cali while he's getting less than 10% nationwide....


That poll is garbage....


Also, that poll uses a machine to make the calls so I suspect alot of white Bush voters say they are black to skew the results....

[Sperk]

6. set up for the steal.....Bush 263, Kerry 252 using Diebold

n/t

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. Maybe We Should All Drink The Hemlock Now....

All this pessimissm sucks.....