Obama running ahead of Kerry in 41 states

[Hawaii Hiker]

http://ballotbox.governing.com/2008/08/where-the-presi.html

"-The overall picture is very favorable for Obama. McCain is only running ahead of Bush's 2004 result in four states. Obama is doing at least 2.46 percentage points better than Kerry in 41 states. In 2004, 2.46 was Bush's margin of victory in the national popular vote.

Another way of thinking about this: If you take the 50 pollster.com figures and then weight them according to the populations of the states (a very crude way of extrapolating a national popular vote forecast from state polling), you end up with Obama 46.4%, McCain 41.6%. In other words, state polling is consistent with the recent Time, AP-Ipsos, and CBS polls that had Obama up by 5-6 points, not with the Gallup poll that gave McCain a four-point advantage. That also means that, nationally, Obama is running a little more than seven points ahead of Kerry".



:woohoo: :woohoo:

[SheilaT]

1. But, but

Kerry's not running! :7

Here's an interesting link to look at:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

[margotb822]

2. I love this site

I was looking for it again recently, but couldn't remember the address. Thanks for the post!

[Eric J in MN]

3. I donated to the "Ohio Democratic Party" this weekend.

Hopefully, Obama will get the fair election in Ohio which John Kerry should have gotten. Since 2004, Ohio has gone from a Republican Secretary of State to a Democratic Secretary of State.

http://www.ohiodems.org