Obama's poll standing unhurt by Hawaii getaway

[babylonsister]

Obama's poll standing unhurt by Hawaii getaway


WASHINGTON (AFP) — As Barack Obama prepares to rejoin the fray of the White House campaign, the Democratic hopeful can take heart from holding his own in the polls despite sequestering himself in Hawaii for the past week.

But with Obama set to resume battle with Republican rival John McCain this weekend following his family break, he cannot be entirely comforted by poll findings that suggest he has yet to seal the deal with US voters.

When he left for vacation in his birth state a week ago, ahead of the convention season, the Illinois senator had a three-point edge over McCain in the Gallup Daily tracking poll.

By Thursday, as Obama packed his bags to fly back to the US mainland, his Gallup lead was still three points -- 46 percent to 43.

The moving average failed to budge despite a rhetorical onslaught by McCain on the crisis in Georgia, as the Republican's campaign scented an opportunity to hammer Obama on his perceived weak spot of foreign policy.

more...

http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5ik7K-jvxqHnbY5eqG1kPbgMPvd0A

[David Dunham]

1. Wrong. Gallup today is 44-44. Obama has lost the lead.

[fascisthunter]

3. sure he has

polls are nothing but propaganda at this point. I see nothing constructive about them, whether they show Obama up or down. It's a lot of BS...

[babylonsister]

4. Oops. My bad; got that off another site.

But this is still good news, not that I put a lot of stock in polls...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

[skids]

5. And yet...

...Rasmussen, which didn't budge all week, showed the first shift towards Obama in a while.

The two tracking polls are obviously just trying to drive us stark freaking mad by always moving opposite each other.

[book_worm]

7. up and down. Rasmussen shows him gaining. Daily tracking polls

will often be up and down.

[VolcanoJen]

9. Live by the Gallup, Die by the Gallup

It's Friday. The race always tightens in the Gallup Daily at the end of the week, and Obama always opens up a lead in the beginning-to-mid week.

Rinse, lather, repeat. It's really grown quite boring.

[glowing]

2. Polls suck and most people aren't paying that much attention yet.

Olympics, vacations, and back to school preparations are in swing... It'll be after the debates when the polls will start reflecting a swing.

[Hansel]

6. This is good news for Obama

According to media mythology, John McCain trumps Obama on national security. So the big 3 a.m. moment arrives, John McCain starts channeling Alexander Haig and half the media is fawning over him. McCain should be trouncing Obama, right? However McCain's numbers haven't moved even with Obama on vacation.

McCain has over-played his hand and is significantly weakened by this event with Russia, mostly because the real McCain is not matching up to the mythological one. Some in the media are starting to question his behavior indicating that their fawning over his national security credentials is no longer a guarantee.

[Sensitivity]

8. WARNING: Opinion polls are allways "LAGGING INDICATORS" of movement in public opinion

They tell the results of the propoaganda environments etc from 1 or 2 weeks back.