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Gallup: No change for Obama, still leads 49-41.

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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 12:03 PM
Original message
Gallup: No change for Obama, still leads 49-41.



http://www.gallup.com/poll/109900/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Continues-Lead-49-41.aspx

He probably would have seen a bigger bump, however, the Palin story broke early yesterday morning.
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Fluffdaddy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 12:05 PM
Response to Original message
1. That's the way the game is played
Smart move my mcCrazy
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thewiseguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 12:06 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. What does your avatar say?
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yourguide Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 12:07 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. It says RIP...
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Fluffdaddy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 12:13 PM
Response to Reply #2
7. DLC.................We won back both houses.
And don't you forget it.......................Roll with the BLUE DOGS or stay the minority party ;-)
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mvd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 12:42 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. We won't be the minority party regardless IMO
Edited on Sat Aug-30-08 12:48 PM by mvd
People will ride the Obama train, where progressive principles get a good messenger.
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Breeze54 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 12:45 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. F the blue dogs and the DLC
Edited on Sat Aug-30-08 12:46 PM by Breeze54
:puke:

They're going and progressives make up 1/3rd of the house and that'll increase in November!
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Political Heretic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 05:24 AM
Response to Reply #7
16. You didn't win back anything.
the anti-war sentiment that the DLC mocked and ridiculed won back both houses. And let's not talk about your historical legacy, of losing everything - both houses, eleven governorships, and the white house.*

*ok, it was stolen.
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Franks Wild Years Donating Member (687 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 12:08 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Looking at the three day average....
Edited on Sat Aug-30-08 12:12 PM by Franks Wild Years
..I'm guessing Obama still had a lead of around 6 - 7 yesterday. The 11 points if you were to take Wednesday in isolation was never going to bear out over the course of three days.

Solid lead. I expect McCain to narrow it next week but for Obama to end up with a consistent 4 - 5% advantage from a fortnight onwards. His added financial clout will really back him up, and Palin's abysmal lack of qualification will ultimately tell.
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 12:09 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. That sounds about right.
I think the initial reaction will be exactly as it was for Biden. Little bump.

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Martinucho Donating Member (74 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 12:08 PM
Response to Original message
5. It took Biden a couple of days to make a difference
Although it's hard to tell whether it was Biden or the nice speeches by Clinton, Obama and others that produced the big bump.
Biden's VP news broke on August 23rd.
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Misskittycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 12:35 PM
Response to Original message
8. This is Labor Day Weekend. Nobody's paying attention. Nobody's at home.
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 12:41 PM
Response to Original message
9. The pollster says Obama's numbers aren't as strong on the last day of polling:
"On this day -- with strong partisan forces pushing the public in both directions -- Obama still polled better than he had been prior to the convention, but not as well as he was polling on the individual nights of the convention."

I saw the Gallup guy on MSNBC this morning and he said he "expects" the numbers to close. Of course they have to make it a horse race again. :eyes:
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mvd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 12:49 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. Yeah, I saw that on another board
He's not supposed to prognosticate. Just poll!
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 02:13 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. I have a feeling he knows what his polls will be before he supposedly polls them.
It doesn't make him seem very objective.
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Political Heretic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 05:25 AM
Response to Reply #9
17. I wish I could see McCain and Obama's internals.
I believe they tell a radically different story.
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Imagevision Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-30-08 02:16 PM
Response to Original message
14. That poll was taken before McCain brought out Palin...
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:59 AM
Response to Reply #14
15. No, some of the polling happened during Friday.
When McCain had introduced Palin. Obviously the bump won't be known for two or three more days, but this poll does account for Friday and McCain rolled her out early Friday morning.
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stewert Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 06:30 AM
Response to Original message
18. Convention Bounce

The official bump day is the Monday after a convention, so we will not know the full bounce Obama got until Monday, or maybe even Tuesday, because Monday is a holiday.

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