NEW POLL: Race Tied and Swift Boat Wash

[jefferson_dem]

This on Sludge now ...

The two-way race is absoloutely tied. Kerry's favorability is down but chimpy has not made gains. Good news! An equal number say the Swift Boat Liars ads will make them more pro-Kerry as anti-Kerry. Rummy's done.


TIME Poll: Election 2004
Sat Aug 28 2004 11:39:25 ET

46% WOULD VOTE FOR PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH, 44% WOULD VOTE FOR JOHN KERRY, AND 5% FOR RALPH NADER

More Than 3 in 4 (77%) Have Seen, Heard or Read About Swift Boat Attack Ads; A Majority (56%) Say Ads are ‘Politics as Usual,’ While Almost 1 in 3 (35%) Say ‘Some Truth’ to Ads

Only 39% Approve of Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld and 49% Think He Should Not Be Kept In Bush’s Cabinet if Re-Elected; 74% Approval for Secretary of State Colin Powell

New York – If the 2004 election for President were being held today, 46% of likely voters surveyed would vote for President George W. Bush, 44% would vote for Democratic nominee John Kerry, and 5% would vote for Ralph Nader. In the two-way race, 46% would vote for Bush and 46% would vote for Kerry, according to a new TIME poll.

SWIFT BOAT ATTACK ADS

More than 3 in 4 (77%) have seen or heard about the ads attacking Kerry’s Vietnam military service record. A majority (56%) who saw the ads say it’s just politics as usual. However, almost 1 in 3 voters (35%) say there’s "some truth" to the accusations. Almost 3 in 4 (72%) of those who saw the ads say they had no impact on their vote intentions. About equal numbers say the ads made them more anti-Kerry (13%) or more pro-Kerry (14%). Almost 1 in 4 swing voters (25%) who saw the ads say that there’s some truth to the accusations.

FAVORABILITY RATINGS

Kerry’s favorability rating is at to 44% favorable and 33% unfavorable, down from 53% favorable and 29% unfavorable in early August. Bush’s favorability rating is at to 46% favorable and 39% unfavorable. More than half (53%) have a favorable opinion of Laura Bush, while 25% have a favorable opinion of Teresa Heinz Kerry .

BUSH’S CABINET

Only 39% approve of the job that Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld has done and 37% disapprove. Voters are split on whether Bush should replace Rumsfeld, with 49% saying he should be replaced, and 48% saying he should stay. Of the four cabinet members TIME asked about, Secretary of State Colin Powell gets the highest approval rating of 74% with 85% saying that he should stay if Bush is re-elected. More than half (52%) approve of the job that National Security Advisor Condoleezza Rice has done as a member of Bush’s cabinet while 25% disapprove, and 68% think Rice should be kept in the job. And Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge has a 44% favorable and 25% unfavorable rating with 61% saying that he should also stay a member of Bush’s cabinet. Overall Bush’s cabinet gets a 50% favorable and 36% unfavorable rating.

http://www.drudgereport.com/flash6.htm

[Catch22Dem]

1. Nader at 5%. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Yeah, like that's gonna happen.

ON EDIT: Thanks for the story though. I think it's good news. And welcome to DU!!!!! :toast:

[madmax]

2. I'm not buying ...

I simply can not believe that this election is 50/50.

The republicans are trying to condition the masses to accept another stolen election because...'it was so close'.

[Melodybe]

4. I'm not buying it either, I have talked to so many ex-repubs

I get giddy, AND I LIVE IN MS!

They are trying to steal it, we can't let them.

[Raya]

3. You miss the big story. Few points kerry lost were in critical states.

Kerry has gone from the overwhelming favorite in the electoral vote
to the under-dog.

[jefferson_dem]

5. The big story is really still being written

as we follow state-by-state trends. But the latest news on the polling front (while not terrific) is hardly dire. Certainly, Kerry is not as well positioned on the EC map today as he was three weeks ago. Watch for more numbers from repub-leaning rasmussen poll later today.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm

Oh, i'll accept underdog status anyday. Victory in the end.

[Mad As Hell]

6. Another of the media biases.

Why don't they tell us what percent is undecided? As you can see it is not a 50-50 nation. Where is the mention that most of the undecideds will break for the challenger?

[A_Possum]

7. *Rolls eyes*

I think we should just throw in the towel. Gee, it's over. We tried. Nothing that happens over the next two months will make any difference, we are sunk all because Kerry didn't respond fast enough to the smearvets.
:eyes:

[59millionmorons]

8. Nader not getting 5%

Never has never will. And you can toss out the likely voter sample because that is assumming there will be a low turnout. Which we all know the turnout will be high.

[jefferson_dem]

9. Turnout will be up where it helps us most!

Among young voters, first time voters, and anti-chimp voters.

We win.

[alarcojon]

10. Here is a real source

for those who hate to click on Drudge (as I do)

http://www.time.com/time/election2004/article/0,18471,689369,00.html