Obama ahead in North Dakota! Obama 43 McLimegreen 40

[catgirl]

From electoral-vote.com:

Today's Polls
We have three new presidential polls today, two of them surprising. In North Dakota, Barack Obama has a small lead over John Mcain, 43% to 40%. This is within the margin of error, so it is a statistical tie. This is a state George Bush won by 27 points in 2004 and 28 points in 2000. It is not supposed to be a tie. It is supposed to be a rout for any Republican. It bears watching. If Obama actually campaigns here at the very least it will force McCain devote some money and energy to a state he should win on autopilot.

State Obama McCain Start End Pollster
Alaska 35% 54% Aug 30 Sep 02 Ivan Moore Research
Indiana 43% 45% Aug 29 Aug 30 Howey-Gauge
North Dakota 43% 40% Aug 23 Aug 27 DFM Research

The same is true of Indiana. Here McCain is ahead 45% to 43%, again a tie. Bush won Indiana by 21 points in 2004 and by 16 in 2000. Shouldn't even be on the radar, but it is and has 11 electoral votes. It is hard to tell what's going on in North Dakota (except maybe the people who like small government--except for farm subsidies--are disappointed in the current administration). Indiana is a bit different. The northeastern part of the state is a bit like Ohio, which is a swing state and the northwestern part is close to Obama's base of Chicago and gets Chicago TV stations. With Palin on the ticket, Alaska is off the table and the Republicans will pick up its 3 EVs as usual.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

[scheming daemons]

1. That's an old poll.... from before Obama even spoke at Denver....

[catgirl]

2. It's the latest poll

While it was conducted during the dem convention, they must have
just released it.

[scheming daemons]

3. Actually, it was posted on DU 2 or 3 days ago..... It's good news... but it's obsolete news now

[catgirl]

4. Oh, I didn't see it

There is so much activity that news is getting buried!

[Thrill]

5. Ed Schultz has been saying it all yr. That Obama can win there

He lives there