ClarkUSA
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Sun Sep-07-08 03:07 PM
Original message |
Intrade Market Odds: Obama 57 - McCain 41.3 |
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Edited on Sun Sep-07-08 03:08 PM by ClarkUSA
Just a reminder who the serious bettors are banking on... stop responding to the fear trolls and the Palin PC Police and get out there and register voters and/or do voter-to-voter contact for Team Obama (the latter can be done from your home).
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TheDonkey
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Sun Sep-07-08 03:12 PM
Response to Original message |
1. for historic perspective what were these markets saying in 2004? |
ClarkUSA
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Sun Sep-07-08 03:20 PM
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4. Dunno; fortunately, this time around, Ohio's SoS is a liberal Democrat who lived thru '04 n/t |
dchill
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Sun Sep-07-08 04:38 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
17. I think these markets... |
my3boyz
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Sun Sep-07-08 03:16 PM
Response to Original message |
2. Obama was way ahead here before. nt |
ClarkUSA
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Sun Sep-07-08 03:24 PM
Response to Reply #2 |
5. "way ahead"? Wrong. He's ticked down a little while McCain's ticked up a little. |
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Thanks for your concern, though. Jerk.
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my3boyz
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Sun Sep-07-08 03:28 PM
Response to Reply #5 |
9. Please! For months Obama was like 70% or something and McCain was |
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at pathetic margins. I wish I had the amounts for each month. However, whenever someone would post intrade Barack was waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay ahead. He is still ahead but not by nearly as much. Sorry if the truth hurts!
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ClarkUSA
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Sun Sep-07-08 03:33 PM
Response to Reply #9 |
12. Wrong again. Obama has been in the mid 60's for months while McCain was in the mid-30's. |
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Edited on Sun Sep-07-08 03:35 PM by ClarkUSA
Jerk.
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my3boyz
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Sun Sep-07-08 04:36 PM
Response to Reply #12 |
16. Exactly. Obama was way ahead. Now Obama had dropped while McCain has improved. |
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I have no idea why you want to put your head in the sand. Oh and are you in middle school? Why do you feel the need to call a person a name because they say something you don't agree with. Childish...there's a description!
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Dawgs
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Sun Sep-07-08 03:16 PM
Response to Original message |
3. Is that supposed to be good news? |
ClarkUSA
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Sun Sep-07-08 03:27 PM
Response to Reply #3 |
7. Well, I'd rather be in Obama's place than McCain's. Debbie Downer much? |
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Instead of moaning, why don't you do something to help Team Obama with voter contact/registration?
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writes3000
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Sun Sep-07-08 03:30 PM
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10. Because that would help and I don't get the sense that's what the real objective is with this one. |
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Complaining on a message board to other Dems is really not doing much.
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ClarkUSA
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Sun Sep-07-08 03:36 PM
Response to Reply #10 |
13. Yup, there are many who are expressly here today to depress our spirits. |
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Edited on Sun Sep-07-08 03:41 PM by ClarkUSA
The PUMA and McCain concern trolls are out in force today.
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JoshDem
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Sun Sep-07-08 03:26 PM
Response to Original message |
6. Thanks for nothing. McCain is at all-time high and Obama is slipping |
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This just adds to the recent spell of bad news.
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ClarkUSA
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Sun Sep-07-08 03:28 PM
Response to Reply #6 |
8. Remember folks, the McCain campaign is offering prizes for trolling comments on Dem blogs... |
NorthCarolina
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Sun Sep-07-08 03:32 PM
Response to Original message |
11. But do those odds assume a free and honest election |
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or do they take the influence of election fraud into account?
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ClarkUSA
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Sun Sep-07-08 03:39 PM
Response to Reply #11 |
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Thankfully, Team Obama has been gathering a legal team for months to fight voter fraud. Their top lawyer, Bob Bauer, is the guy who argued for Gore in front of the Supreme Court in 2000. Don't forget, Obama taught about voter suppression in his Constitutional Law class. They know.
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orwell
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Sun Sep-07-08 04:06 PM
Response to Original message |
15. In looking at the charts... |
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Obama's odds broke below his long term consolidation while McLame's broke above his. Both events happened yesterday, probably due to a tightening in the polls. Also contract volume has significantly increased in the last 3 days or so, breaking above recent historical norms. All of this indicates a perceived increase in McSame's chances are far as the bettors are concerned. It will probably strengthen in the next few days as breakouts are usually either followed by consolidations or continuation of the breakout trend.
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noel711
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Sun Sep-07-08 04:39 PM
Response to Original message |
18. The In-Trade markets have a record... |
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the last 2 elections they predicted Bush. Guess who won.
This year they are predicting a republican winner. For months Obama soared above.
last week, before her speech, they were betting on McCain losing Palin before the election. Now that issue is moot.
But let's be real: most of the folks who play the market speculation tend to be republicans...
most democrats don't have the spare cash to do anything, much less play the spec market.
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geek tragedy
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Sun Sep-07-08 04:41 PM
Response to Original message |
19. Since you started this thread, it's moved to 56.5 - 43.6. n/t |
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