Unsane
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:14 PM
Original message |
What is WRONG with this country? USA/Gallup 9/7: McCain 55 Obama 44 |
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Up 11 among likely voters. Electoral vote.com still has Obama up 301 to 250 something, but that's probably going to tighten. WTF is wrong with this country? It just gets frustrating... http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-09-07-poll_N.htm
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marlakay
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:16 PM
Response to Original message |
1. People don't vote with their heads |
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it makes me sick, last time it was who they could drink beer with and this time god only knows, men probably want to screw her and women that don't pay attention but are moms think its cute...sick sick sick
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gateley
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:19 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
6. Well you know, you're right. |
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And although we're making fun of the McCain guy who said "this election isn't about issues", he's probably right. It probably rarely is.
It's like getting any job. If they like you, you're hired, even if somebody else more qualified has applied.
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greatscott15
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:21 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
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Hope it doesn't last, but trends are not looking good.
If you look at the Gallup/Ras/Zogby tracking, McCain has slowly closed the gap since Obama's trip to Europe.
The convention gave us a slight bounce.
Now it looks gone.
Time to get back on the offensive. Call your friends in the media, and continue to give them stories on McCain and especially Palin.
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melody
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:50 PM
Response to Reply #13 |
30. Actually, it was only a +4 bounce. The subject line is wrong. |
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And according to overnight crunch polling, it has already melted to +1. A pure dead cat bounce.
Obama will be ahead again by next week when the voters realize what a nazi McCain chose as VP.
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melody
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:16 PM
Response to Original message |
2. It's called a "convention bounce". It'll go away shortly. n/t |
gateley
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:17 PM
Response to Original message |
3. You know, even if the polls don't mean anything as people keep telling us -- |
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how on EARTH could their numbers even be in the same ballpark? Obama should be leading by a HUGE margin.
I agree - what is WRONG with this country?
I don't get it either.
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WillYourVoteBCounted
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:20 PM
Response to Reply #3 |
41. 3 of 4 in my family voting for McCain |
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out of the 4 siblings, 3 are voting for McCain.
One of them is a Dem. All three have at least 1 masters degree plus.
Go figure.
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Rosa Luxemburg
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:47 PM
Response to Reply #41 |
63. so what is it. Why do they want to vote for a bad tempered fossil? |
WillYourVoteBCounted
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:51 PM
Response to Reply #63 |
67. 2 would vote for any GOP, the 3rd, I'm not sure |
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It beats the hell out of me.
2 of them voted for GW.
I guess they aren't worried about those of us who don't have health care.
And they don't blame the GOP for the mess our country is in.
And they don't like Obama.
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Rosa Luxemburg
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Sun Sep-07-08 11:07 PM
Response to Reply #67 |
74. who do they think made a mess of the country? |
1corona4u
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:17 PM
Response to Original message |
pegleg
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:18 PM
Response to Original message |
5. Alot of it is bounce from the republican convention, but alot of it |
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is due to the dems shooting themselves in the foot.
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Egnever
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:19 PM
Response to Original message |
7. The media isnt it obvious? |
Unsane
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:20 PM
Response to Reply #7 |
12. Contrary to popular belief, not a whole lot of people watch cable news. |
Doctor_J
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:56 PM
Response to Reply #12 |
35. No, but a lot listen to hate radio |
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and since both are completely one-sided, it has an effect.
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Codeine
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:26 PM
Response to Reply #35 |
46. The only people who listen to talk radio |
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are people whose opinions are already totally in agreement with the douchebags that host the crap. It's only political impact is to rile the already-converted.
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pegleg
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:39 PM
Response to Reply #46 |
58. If that were the case then it wouldn't be the most effective tool they have |
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Edited on Sun Sep-07-08 10:42 PM by pegleg
The dems are having to learn that lesson at their own peril. They have failed to implement a new revised fairness doctrine (which is essential to restore the airwaves to the people). this along with the dems failure to act against black box voting could very well cost them the election AGAIN.
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Codeine
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:44 PM
Response to Reply #58 |
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that only committed ideologues listen to that shit. Nobody casually tunes in to Savage and undergoes a political sea change. People aren't that fucking stupid. Pretending they are is probably part of our problem.
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Colobo
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:19 PM
Response to Original message |
8. Relax and keep working. |
Kdillard
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:19 PM
Response to Original message |
9. This was already posted and please stop panicking over a convention bounce. |
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Edited on Sun Sep-07-08 09:22 PM by Kdillard
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akangel2008
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:22 PM
Response to Reply #9 |
City Lights
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:20 PM
Response to Original message |
10. As a nation, America obviously hasn't hit bottom yet. |
George_Bonanza
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:20 PM
Response to Original message |
11. As Jack Cafferty said... |
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If Americans vote in McCain-Palin, then they deserve whatever happens to them (at least the ones that voted for the Republicans).
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totodeinhere
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:30 PM
Response to Reply #11 |
49. But the problem is that they will drag the rest of us down with them. |
treestar
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:21 PM
Response to Original message |
14. How it could have changed so much in so few days maybe |
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indicates it is not a very perfect measurement.
Tomorrow it could go back. Then we shouldn't all be estatic.
I'm depressed because this country has so many idiots. but their being that stupid means they could be persuaded again. Anyone who just made up their mind after watching the repuke convention is dumb enough to be persuaded to go the other way before the election.
these idiots should not be running everything. If they are in the majority, then they need to be worked around. People that stupid should be manageable.
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melody
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:30 PM
Response to Reply #14 |
19. It ALWAYS happens this way -- JeffR said it a week ago |
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... that we'd all start panicking at the convention bounce.
It's a convention bounce. We have two months for it to melt, like it always does.
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treestar
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:39 PM
Response to Reply #19 |
21. True, when people start learning about Caribou Barbie's |
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views on the issues her initial interestingness should fade.
I'm looking for numbers on the numbers of fundies in this country. They can't be but a minority and a tiny one at that. It's about time they were stood up to! But they can't be enough to sustain this bounce.
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melody
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:45 PM
Response to Reply #21 |
23. According the Princeton's polling crunching site McCain is already down to +1 |
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in the overnights.
Somebody dumped a buck of water on his running mate. lol
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RememberWellstone
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:22 PM
Response to Original message |
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This is bullshiite...it's not true...do not believe the polls! They are in it for the money....they make no sense this time of the elction cycle. They are trying to be relevant. It's bullshit.
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JeanGrey
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:22 PM
Response to Original message |
16. And we need to just keep on talking about Sarah's baby |
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and her daughter's pregnancy...............
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stanwyck
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:23 PM
Response to Original message |
18. It's 50 - 46. Not 55 - 46. n/t |
melody
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:32 PM
Response to Reply #18 |
20. Hell, that's not even statistically relevant. I wasn't worried at 55 - 50 is nothing. |
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Obama has been there regularly the past months. He'll be there again as soon as people realize they're planning to vote for a crazed Jesus nazi.
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dennis4868
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:55 PM
Response to Reply #18 |
33. I believe with likely voters... |
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it is 55-46
McCain is getting a bounce that perhaps a candidate has not gotten in a very long time.
Good strategy on Obama's part to hold back their attacks on Palin and allow McCain and FOX News define her.
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iceman66
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:41 PM
Response to Original message |
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McCain is running what is probably the most blatantly disingenuous campaign in American history, and people seem to be falling for it.
I blame the media.
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melody
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:47 PM
Response to Reply #22 |
26. But they aren't. The actual McCain lead was 4 points |
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And, according to the dailies it has virtually melted away.
A purely dead cat bounce.
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dennis4868
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:47 PM
Response to Reply #22 |
27. I blame the Obama team... |
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Obama and Biden simply laugh it off when asked about Palin's convention speech...they cannot be laughing now....they should have been attacking Palin and talking about all her lies in her speech and about her character and readiness to be prez...what a poor strategy they have and now they and all of us are paying the price...McCain is getting a bounce and then some....what a fucking nightmare.
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melody
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:49 PM
Response to Reply #27 |
28. Gee, I think somehow Obama has gone this far, he'll go the rest |
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I have faith in him and his intellect, and the abilities of his team.
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dennis4868
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:01 PM
Response to Reply #28 |
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does not understand that the primaries are over and now he is dealing with the repub machine that will do and say anything to win and that he has to attack back and not take any crap from the other side...he and his team are reactive and not aggressive at all.
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melody
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:24 PM
Response to Reply #36 |
44. HE doesn't understand? Who are you? Maybe he knows more than you do n/t |
dennis4868
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:31 PM
Response to Reply #44 |
50. I am allowed to have an opinion... |
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So you think that Obama is doing a wonderfull job defining Palin, especially before her convention speech and that Obama and his team are stating the lies that Palin is making over and over....I watched the Sunday talk shows yesterday and not once did I hear Obama or Biden attack Palin....not once did I hear Biden say that by choosing Palin McCain is howing a lack of judgment.
So if anyone thinks that Obama should stay the course and keep up his strategy of allowing McCain and Palin define him and lie, then we are doomed....it does not take a political expert to figure that out.
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melody
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Mon Sep-08-08 01:18 AM
Response to Reply #50 |
77. And I'm allowed an opinion that you sound like you know more about it than he does |
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I trust this candidate to do what he's going to do when he does it. I'm not conceited enough to assume I know what that is better than he does.
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Raksha
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Sun Sep-07-08 11:19 PM
Response to Reply #28 |
75. No, DAMMIT! I remember four years ago |
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when everyone said the same thing about John Kerry when he was being swiftboated: "Trust him, he knows what he's doing."
Later (much later) I heard that he did refute the swiftboaters but the corporate media never covered it.
I want Obama and Biden to GO NEGATIVE and do it NOW!!! Call Palin a NAZI if they have to...it wouldn't be that far from the truth anyway.
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melody
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Mon Sep-08-08 01:21 AM
Response to Reply #75 |
78. This isn't four years ago -- I was here then, too |
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This is a different candidate and a different election.
I think Monday and Tuesday, we'll see a lot more movement.
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WCGreen
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:46 PM
Response to Original message |
24. No one ever went poor underestimating the intelligence of the |
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American Public...
All I can say if this guy wins, I'll be doubly glad I never had kids...
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DemzRock
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:47 PM
Response to Original message |
25. I seem to remember gallup bouncing from day to day in 2000. |
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Does SUSA have a national poll? I've read they were the most accurate state by state. But who knows? Zogby was pretty accurate in 2000, but has been complete shit since.
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regnaD kciN
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:50 PM
Response to Original message |
29. GET YOUR NUMBERS RIGHT... |
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It's 50-46 among RV (pretty much in line with convention bounces), 54-44 using their deeply-flawed LV model (which has been about ten points further toward the Republicans in the past). No way is it "55-44" by any standard.
The sky is falling!!! The sky is falling!!! :eyes:
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melody
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:52 PM
Response to Reply #29 |
31. And Princeton's site already suggests it's shrinking. |
Hard Leftt
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:12 PM
Response to Reply #31 |
37. I would like to believe you |
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but I put more faith in Likely voter polls than Registered polls.
Please explain to me how Obama being up 8 and now down 11 is a "dead cat bounce"
I would really like to know because I'm kind of angry and frustrated with these polls. Make me feel better.
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melody
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:23 PM
Response to Reply #37 |
43. They were tied and then +1 Obama BEFORE the DNC |
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The DNC gave Obama a nine point bounce and McCain got a 10-11 point one. Both flatlined. "Likelys" always firm up with a con bounce.
The fact is the electoral college still shows us in a good position. The national poll counts for nothing. Gore was ahead in national polls for the 2000 election and looked what happened there.
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zeemike
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:53 PM
Response to Original message |
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This is all part of the plan to convince you that we will have an election that represents the views of the people that vote so that you; 1) won't be mad when Mc Same is selected as president and 2)So that you will be disheartened by the news and blame it on the candidate and; 3) Get your check book out for the race in 2012.
They plan to steak this election and make you like it.
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melody
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:27 PM
Response to Reply #32 |
47. That's right, the end is near, we're all doomed |
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Which gives the gloomers a wonderful excuse to do nothing.
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zeemike
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Mon Sep-08-08 06:56 AM
Response to Reply #47 |
79. No a new beginning is near |
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But we must stop playing this game with them because it is designed for them to win. It is a slight of hand game...while we are watching the numbers they manipulate things.
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bob4460
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Sun Sep-07-08 09:55 PM
Response to Original message |
34. The poll only had 1022 adults, including 959 registered voters. |
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They probably called all of them in a ultra conservative region of the country,and that is how they skew the numbers so bad. A Gallup pool to boot
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samuraiguppy
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:14 PM
Response to Original message |
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they are trying to discourage it. I think it is probably tied (because they did just have their convention). Now we will pull back ahead.
DONT sweat it.
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uponit7771
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:16 PM
Response to Original message |
39. RCP AVERAGE ONLY HAS McPalin up by 1 !!! |
enough already
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:17 PM
Response to Original message |
40. It's a country of idiots |
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I can't fucking believe this is happening. I don't know what I'm going to do if those pricks win again.
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melody
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:26 PM
Response to Reply #40 |
45. Well, the crunch poll only has McGramps up by 1 |
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And we're still in the best position to win. Why do you insult the half of the country voting with you?
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Codeine
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:29 PM
Response to Reply #40 |
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you'll take your "country of idiots" nonsense back, right?
It's a country of people, sometimes emotional, often irrational, but not idiotic. If you truly believe that then there is no hope and you might as well bow out now.
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EndElectoral
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:21 PM
Response to Original message |
42. "People are bloody ignorant apes." = Beckett |
mitchum
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:35 PM
Response to Reply #42 |
56. Sam will get no argument from me |
mw
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:32 PM
Response to Original message |
51. America on decline. As evidenced by the religious reich, Bush, Palin, etc |
OmmmSweetOmmm
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:32 PM
Response to Original message |
52. Fluoride in the water and aspartame in soft drinks makes for a brain dead population. |
mitchum
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:33 PM
Response to Original message |
53. self delete: double post |
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Edited on Sun Sep-07-08 10:34 PM by mitchum
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DeschutesRiver
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:33 PM
Response to Original message |
54. Question about polls during the democratic primaries? |
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I really can't remember much about them. But weren't they all done by these same groups of pollsters when Obama and Clinton were battling it out?
Was Obama always ahead? I would doubt, and I would doubt that he was ever ahead nationally by 8 or 10 points over Hillary. But he is the nominee. If that is right, then these polls don't mean squat necessarily, right?
I do remember the delegate vote guesses were more accurate, showed Obama making progress, and then he did win. Is that more akin to the electoral college vote guesses they are making now (which are also in Obama's favor)? Or does anyone have a different (read more accurate) memory on this?
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mccain_pwned
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:33 PM
Response to Original message |
55. Please change title to reflect correct numbers *NT* |
Unsane
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:43 PM
Response to Reply #55 |
59. I noted that the numbers are 'likely voters' |
mccain_pwned
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Sun Sep-07-08 11:07 PM
Response to Reply #59 |
73. Even So.. Still not Correct . Likely = 54/44 |
Unsane
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Mon Sep-08-08 12:11 AM
Response to Reply #73 |
76. Sorry. Honest mistake. |
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Can't edit because the time's expired.
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Codeine
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:36 PM
Response to Original message |
57. It's a god-damned bounce, people. |
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Edited on Sun Sep-07-08 10:36 PM by Codeine
Conventions result in bounces, and they often play out for several weeks after the show. Weeks. Expecting McCain's bounce to have dropped off already is probably unrealistic (but who knows with the way this election cycle is playing out.) Obama's bounce was overshadowed by Palin and the 'Puke Convention so clearly the GOP will be getting more out of theirs. It'll tighten back up.
And don't blame the country -- it's the same country that gave the Big Dawg two terms and has had Obama polling with a lead for quite a while. It's a damn good country full of lots of hard-working, committed folks just like you and I, dammit. If you choose to diss them and call them "idiots" don't be surprised if they turn on you.
Things will pick back up. I opened the window and checked -- the sky hasn't fallen at all.
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Sodan
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:45 PM
Response to Reply #57 |
61. The people get what they deserve |
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More recently the same country gave Bush two terms.
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Codeine
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:46 PM
Response to Reply #61 |
62. Evidently that country regrets that decision. |
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Treat them like jackasses and they will choose McSame.
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msallied
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:52 PM
Response to Reply #57 |
68. Jesus, a voice of reason! Finally! |
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I don't know how much harder I can work to convince people to chill the fuck out over this whole thing. I usually come to DU to feel the spirit of the party, not to face the doom and gloom generated by one bad effing poll. And I'm also not about to pack my bags and move to effing Canada either. lol
Thank you!
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Codeine
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:55 PM
Response to Reply #68 |
71. I suspect there are more of us than we realize. |
progressiveforever
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:49 PM
Response to Original message |
64. That's a fuck of a bounce--we have to fight like hell |
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Yeah, It's scares me shitless. But I won't back down or quit fighting.
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salguine
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:49 PM
Response to Original message |
65. I'll tell you one thing...If McCain wins this election, |
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I will never fucking vote ever again. A McCain victory would say to me that this country is so far beyond fucked up that it's completely and utterly beyond salvage, and I refuse to participate in this charade any more. Once 51% of the country—the tipping point—goes for McCain, I no longer give a shit about what happens any more. I will move to Canada and tell every inch of America to go fuck itself.
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salguine
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:50 PM
Response to Original message |
66. I'll tell you one thing...If McCain wins this election, |
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I will never fucking vote ever again. A McCain victory would say to me that this country is so far beyond fucked up that it's completely and utterly beyond salvage, and I refuse to participate in this charade any more. Once 51% of the country—the tipping point—goes for McCain, I no longer give a shit about what happens any more. I will move to Canada and tell every inch of America to go fuck itself.
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Awsi Dooger
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:53 PM
Response to Original message |
69. Monumental advantage to have the second convention |
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I posted that many times. Polls taken between conventions could not be more worthless.
Still, I'm surprised McCain is up by that margin. I expected a flat footed tie, then for Obama to naturally recoil to small advantage in a week or two.
It will be interesting to see what other polls report. Why have we been bombarded with Gallup and little else?
Obama is the favorite but naturally it's going to be close in an open race. I wanted Mark Warner, who could have exploded the electoral possibilities. Once we narrowed it to a woman or a black man, it was guaranteed to be tight, particularly when our nominee is considered liberal and their nominee can feign moderate.
It's still a 21% liberal, 33% conservative nation. Always keep that in mid when you're baffled our candidate does not lead decisively.
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mbee
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:55 PM
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70. They have to say McCain is ahead now so that later |
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when he tanks he can't say the media was biased. The media can say Oh McCain was so far ahead, but all the scandals of his running mate took him down.
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Quixote1818
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Sun Sep-07-08 10:58 PM
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72. Please let this thread sink and disapear. I am sickof seeing it. It's old news |
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and Gallup's new numbers show the bounce is over.
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DU
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Mon May 06th 2024, 10:34 PM
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