DemFromMem
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Wed Sep-17-08 01:06 PM
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All 4 daily tracking polls showing positive movement for Obama |
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Research 2000 (Daily Kos) 48 Obama - 44 McCain Gallup - 47 Obama - 45 McCain Hotline - 45 Obama - 42 McCain Rasmussen - 47 Obama - 48 McCain
Intrade - 49 Obama - 48.4 McCain
Not where we were after the DNC, but I like the direction of things.
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RiverStone
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Wed Sep-17-08 01:11 PM
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1. Yep. Obama's got the wind to his back now! |
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All the way to the GE and his presidency! :)
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AlinPA
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Wed Sep-17-08 01:16 PM
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2. With all these polls, I wait patiently for phrigndumass. nt |
YOY
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Wed Sep-17-08 01:16 PM
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3. and remember that those polls only show "expected voters" |
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Not first time or infrequent voters.
Many first timers and infrequent voters are gonna win this for us.
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wiggs
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Wed Sep-17-08 01:29 PM
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5. That's an important point. Polls do not reflect huge increases in voter participation |
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among groups that do not usually turn out in high numbers. I wonder if campaign insider polls weight voter turnout differently.
I'm also interested in seeing how voter turnout during primaries --democrats turned out in numbers 2 or 3 times that of GOP voters -- carries over to general election and how the cell phone only crowd is factored in.
I really wish I didn't have a nagging feeling that election fraud will play a role...caging and even tampering with results.
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regnaD kciN
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Wed Sep-17-08 01:23 PM
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4. Actually, Hotline shows movement toward McCain... |
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Obama was up 4 yesterday, 3 today. Probably statistical noise, but we should be accurate. And I'm really surprised we aren't at least tied in Rasmussen yet.
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Wed May 08th 2024, 07:52 PM
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