NBC News/Mason Dixon Pennsylvania Poll: Obama 46, McCain 44

[Hope And Change]

NBC News/Mason Dixon

NBC Poll: Pennsylvania Tight

Monday, September 22nd, 2008

From NBC News/Mason Dixon poll:


Obama 46, McCain 44
Error margin: 4 points


http://thepage.time.com/more-from-the-nbc-news-pennsylvania-poll/">Read more — including who Keystone State voters trust more with the economy — here.


http://thepage.time.com/2008/09/22/nbc-poll-pennsylvania-tight/">Link

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1. That's distressing

"Support by party affiliation, among Democrats: Obama 72, McCain 17"

That's distressing...


Trust to handle the economy: Obama 47, McCain 42


That's distressing, too...

[BeyondGeography]

3. White assholes

Thankfully, we won't need all of them to come to their senses to win PA.

[WI_DEM]

14. but remember Kerry only won it by 3-points in '04

[WI_DEM]

15. I can't believe how many posters are astonished by these numbers! PA was close in '04, too

Kerry won it by 3-points. But except for one Zogby interactive poll, Obama has led every poll. He will win the state the old fashioned way thru huge gotv in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh while McCain will run up totals in much of the rest of the state. In the end Obama will win.

[skipos]

2. As usual, PA will be close, but for months the only poll that has had McCain up is Zogby Interactive

and everyone knows those polls are garbage.

[bigdarryl]

4. Where the hell is Ed Rendal he hasn't been heard of campaigning for Obama as he did Clinton

[WinkyDink]

7. Rendell. And he'll campaign when Obama asks him to.

[bigdarryl]

5. Chuck Todd said the reason it is close in that state is because Obama is only getting 71% of Dems

OH!!!please those Dems will come home thats my prediction.

[grandpappy]

6. PA voter

I'm a registered independent voter 56 year old female middle
class RN. No one has ever polled me, and I'm the demographic
they are looking for.Don't believe the polls. In PA I was
unable to vote in the primary because you have to have a party
affiliation.Will vote obama in November!!!

[WinkyDink]

8. Thank you! And excellent point!

[Barack_America]

9. Doubtful.

But, hey, let McCain waste his money here.

Did they have a previous poll? Do we know the results?

[Robbins]

10. NBC

Remember during the Primarys Obama always overperformed from when any poll associated with NBC said
he would.Remember no poll has had Mccain actully ahead In PA.Biden Is Obama's secret weapon here.
and don't get deperssed on these close polls here.At One time Mccain was actully leading In Michigan
and now It Is slowly moving from a Tossup(slightly lean Obama) to a Likely Obama state.

[Thrill]

11. Ugh. I thought Biden would help put this out of reach.

[Teaser]

12. Close, but we'll win it

PA is always rough at this point.

I expect a 3 percentage point victory here. And the polls basically confirm that: we are never behind, and the margin is usually between 2 and 4.

[featherman]

13. Mason-Dixon is notorious among pollster analysts for it's pro-GOP tilt. This is fine.