Gallup - Obama 50 (+1), McLame 42 (-2)

[MadBadger]

[Whalestoe]

1. Link:

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110740/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Moves-50-42-Lead.aspx

[msallied]

2. WOW!!!

Kicking it high!

[flpoljunkie]

38. An 8 point swing in three days. Tuesday will show full debate results.

[dennis4868]

3. GOBAMA

If McCain was deseperate last week, how desperate is he now?

What will be the gimmick of the week?

[TwilightGardener]

4. YEEEAAARRGGHHH!!!!

[PearliePoo2]

5. Yeah baby

That's a spread of 8!
This is really great but electoral state votes is still where it is won or lost (stolen)

[Colobo]

6. Booom!

[jefferson_dem]

7. Woot!

:woohoo:

[polichick]

8. EXCELLENT!

[Schulzz]

9. The full impact of the debate...

The full impact of the debate and its aftermath will not be reflected in the tracking data until Tuesday's report, which will be based on interviewing conducted Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. Still, Gallup's one-day read on the standing of the two candidates on Saturday suggests that Obama held the lead over McCain among registered voters that night, just as he had for the two previous nights.

[msallied]

12. If Obama cracks the 50% ceiling by then, this thing is sealed.

[GrizzlyMan]

50. Don't forget external events

The ONLY thing I'm worried about is some kind of external event, a MIHOP or LIHOP terroist act on US soil or perhaps a Bin Laden tape. Outside of that, I agree, we have it.

[Eric J in MN]

10. Harry Reid has to insist that John McCain votes for the bailout before...

...any Senate Democrats.

If McCain isn't in DC, then wait for McCain to come to DC.

For John McCain to campaign against the bailout is his best hope.

(Ideally, no one would vote for the bailout.)

[optimisticin08]

20. We control the senate

Reid can force mccain to vote first.

[Jennicut]

11. Well, now they finally have it right. the 46-46 poll of a few days ago was crap.

8 point spread, this is convention-type bounce.

[4_Legs_Good]

13. w00000000000000!!!!! w)))T))T)T)T)T)T)

Yes yes yes, back to our 8 point lead, and hitting 50% again!

w00000000000000h000000000000000000000000000000000000000

All eyes on Biden now. If he can score big on Thursday, I think we're getting close to locking it up.

David

[Muttocracy]

14. yay! nt

[Bicoastal]

15. His Biggest Gallup lead in a MONTH!!

:applause::applause::applause:

[dennis4868]

16. where are all the DUers...

who try to convince me that Obama polls badly during the weekend?

[rufus dog]

30. O.K. I'll give it a shot

The trend does seem to support that Obama under performs in the Gallup polls on weekends. He would always drop a point or two then regain the points mid week in the polls conducted throughout the summer. The variations may become smaller as fewer undecideds exist and younger voters may not go out as much in the fall.


Let me use a McLame 'story' example. There are still some Seinfeld episodes I have never seen. (very few) This is because I played softball every Thursday night. (West Coaster) Why Thursday? Because we could go out drinking after the game and muddle through work on Friday. Something was always scheduled for Friday/Saturday, think dual income families, young pre-school aged children.

Now people can always find my old ass at home on at least two of those three nights.... waiting to pick up a kid from some event, social circle that is centered around school/immediate neighborhood.

[tedoll78]

17. And the freepers begin to react..

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2092443/posts

Go on. You know you want to. :D

[Bicoastal]

19. Geez, I'd hate to be a Republican right now...

...good thing I'd never be one. :)

[Jennicut]

21. Yes, I do. And they think Zogby is legitmate and the financial mess is a conspiracy!

OMFG, I am dying here laughing! "Obambi" might just be your prez Freeps, get used to it.

[BumRushDaShow]

23. Can. Not. Resist.

:rofl:

Edit to add: I can't believe they think that Paulson is a Democrat! A man who served under Nixon! :rofl:

[OnionPatch]

33. I hate to give them hits to their site.

It's cool when DUers post some of the highlights. I get a kick out of that without feeling like I've entered somewhere dark and creepy.

[Muttocracy]

18. Rasmussen has 50-44 so that's another hitting 50 today :)

[npincus]

22. yabba-dabba-doo!

:rofl:

[aaaaaa5a]

24. I wish Gallup would release the daily numbers

[Mz Pip]

25. Best spread ever.

My son was concerned that Obama didn't kick ass hard enough during the debates. I told him that Obama has to be careful not to appear to be angry or too agressive. It looks like Obama walked that tightrope perfectly.

His grace and intelligence is beginning to win over undecideds and independents.

[Robbins]

26. Gallup

Not Only has Obama hit 50 percent but Mccain Is at a alltime low for him.

Since Democrats got oversight and help for those hurting In the Bailout plan expect some other stint
soon from Mccain.Perhapes Palin withdrawing from the ticket for family reasons and Lieberman stepping
forward.He Is about the only one who would.Romney Is planning his 2012 run against President Obama.

[regnaD kciN]

27. Haven't you heard? It'll be the Bristol Palin wedding...

...which, according to McCain campaign insiders, would shut down campaigning for a week, capture all the attention of the media, and enthrall the American people. :crazy:

[Robbins]

29. Mccain

If he thinks a wedding Is what people want to see for a week he Is stupid.However they might use this
to get her out of the debate.I will be surprised If the VP debate actully happens.After Friday
I just can't believe they would let her on the stage with Biden and have to answer questions.And
remember she Is suspose to attack Obama.

[PerfectSage]

28. I'm worried about the possibility of an Obama landslide.

:sarcasm: :)

[K8-EEE]

31. OK now that's what I'm talking bout!!!!

GOBAMA!

[MI4Obama]

32. Obama rally streaming now

I don't have permission to start a new topic but the Obama rally in Detroit is streaming live now...

Check it out: http://www.clickondetroit.com/video/17575918/index.html

[aaaaaa5a]

34. This is from the Freepers board...

quote....

"I the last 4 days it’s went from:

Thur: Even
Fri: O +3
Sat: O +5
Sun: O +8

It’s not the actual poll number that should concern everyone, it’s the direction and magnitude of the move"


end of quote




I love it!

[Undercurrent]

35. Yahoo!

Hmmm... what stunt du jour will the McCrud campaign cook up? Something to do with Failan I'll wager.


"The results also include one complete day (Saturday) after the first presidential debate on Friday night."

"The full impact of the debate and its aftermath will not be reflected in the tracking data until Tuesday's report, which will be based on interviewing conducted Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. Still, Gallup's one-day read on the standing of the two candidates on Saturday suggests that Obama held the lead over McCain among registered voters that night, just as he had for the two previous nights."
http://www.gallup.com/poll/110740/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Moves-50-42-Lead.aspx

[aaaaaa5a]

36. This is a direct quote from the Freepers board...

quote....


I the last 4 days it’s went from:

Thur: Even
Fri: O +3
Sat: O +5
Sun: O +8

It’s not the actual poll number that should concern everyone, it’s the direction and magnitude of the move

end of quote



I love it.

[nam78_two]

37. Nice! nt

[Ichingcarpenter]

39. Normally don't care for these tracking polls vs the State polls but

I'll give this a kick and a nom.

[DCBob]

40. Nice trend. McCain is tanking.

:bounce:

[otohara]

41. Giddy, But Still Knocking on Wood

I wish the election were tomorrow.

[mvd]

42. Wonderful!

One poll is not very meaningful, but when all of them line up our way, it's a reason to celebrate. :toast: :bounce:

[Rosa Luxemburg]

43. Debate bounce for Obama and McCain at lowest

[uponit7771]

44. Where was Kerry and Gore at these points in 00 & 04 election? How accurate is Gallup? Good news....

[WeDidIt]

45. This is the FIRST Gallup Showing Debate Results

Tuesday will be the first day of 100% post debate results.

Tomorrow will be the first day of 100% post gimmick results.

[TheDonkey]

46. OH ME O MY!

GOBAMA!

[Tatiana]

47. Shit! YES!!!!!!!!! Independents are making up their minds now, methinks. n/t

[jenmito]

48. Look at what the Freepers claim Gallup said vs. what Gallup REALLY said:

"Another FReeper posted yesterday that Gallup's 3 day rolling average had:

Wed: McCain 46, Obama 44%
Thurs: McCain 39%, Obama 56%
Fri: McCain 47%, Obama 47%

If true, then today's Gallup still has Thursday's OUTLIER included in the 3 day rolling average: Thurs, Fri, Saturday. Tomorrow's Gallup sould be more interesting without Thursday's huge outlier."

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2092443/posts


"The full impact of the debate and its aftermath will not be reflected in the tracking data until Tuesday's report, which will be based on interviewing conducted Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. Still, Gallup's one-day read on the standing of the two candidates on Saturday suggests that Obama held the lead over McCain among registered voters that night, just as he had for the two previous nights.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110740/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Moves-50-42-Lead.aspx

(I guess the key words are, "If true...") :D

[Curtland1015]

49. WOOOOOOOOOOOO! We're gonna break 50%!

I just know it! I want to look at this site tomorrow and see 51%!

[jenmito]

51. Going by Gallup's past polling, whenever Obama hits 50%, he goes down to 49% after that...

But this time they said yesterday's numbers were as strong as the previous days', so we'll see.