Check out Dick Morris' Electrol Map

[blitzburgh55]

Breaking news on Newsmax of all places

Breaking News: Dick Morris' 2008 Election Map Shows McCain Losing Even More Ground

Dick Morris' Analysis of the Map

The polls now make it clear that McCain lost the first debate, and has lost ground during the entire gambit of suspending his campaign, going off the trail, going to Washington, and working on the bailout. He was tied, or 1 to 2 percent behind when he made the suspension announcement, and he is now 5 to 6 percent behind.


The fallout in the electoral map does not make for a pretty picture. Core Republican states like Louisiana, Tennessee, West Virginia, Arizona, and North Carolina are now really toss ups, and even states like South Carolina and Georgia are in play.





http://w3.newsmax.com/a/morrismap/?promo_code=2A89-1

[boobooday]

1. FLORIDA!!!!!

OMG!!!

[iceman66]

2. Arizona a tossup?

Wow!

[ronnykmarshall]

5. That would be sweet to win AZ.

[tekisui]

3. MO, FL, OH and AR???

Works for me~ Arkansas is surprise.

[TornadoTN]

4. WAY TO GO TENNESSEE!!!

I knew this wave was coming - this state has suffered for far to long at the hands of Bush and his ilk. When I saw McCain so far ahead a few months back, I was disgusted and confused because so many people are supporting Obama here in a very red area of the state.

We're in play!!!!!! GET OUT THE VOTE!!!

[Kalyke]

11. When did this happen?

Of course, there hasn't been a poll done in Tennessee in a month or better, so how would we know?

[WinkyDink]

20. Tennessee has a LOT of atoning to do.

[NightHawk63]

26. I agree TornadoTN

I would love for our state to go BLUE!!!

[MadBadger]

6. This map makes Morris look like an incompetent fool

no matter how favorable it is for us

[Cosmocat]

32. BINGO ...

He comes across as a thoughtless troll, and a map that has all the current predictive accuracy of throwing darts matches the way he comes across personally.

[Kahuna]

47. It sure does. Must have been drunk when he posted this. nt

[emilyg]

52. He is.

[tekisui]

7. He must be sweating bullets and hating mcPOW/Phalin.

:rofl:

[apnu]

8. Holy. Fucking. Shit!

Dick Morris. of NewsMax? NewsMax? Republican propaganda NewsMax???

[featherman]

9. Strange stuff: TN a tossup? LA? AZ? This would be quite the map if the toe-sucker

actually knew anything.

[Marsala]

10. What the hell is wrong with that map?

Is Morris a total idiot? (Yeah, I know, rhetorical.) Missouri and Arkansas as leaning Obama? Tennessee, Louisiana and Arizona as tossups? Indiana as strongly McCain? (The problem with Indiana is that it is leaning much more towards Obama than most of the states I previously named.)

Very good map for us, but totally absurd.

[SuperTrouper]

12. Toesucker is now the official Obama cheerleader.

[TornadoTN]

18. It may be a lot more accurate than many polls for all we know

I don't think toesucker Morris would pull any punches for McCain. Maybe he is reading the handwriting on the walls? Who knows!

I do believe that most states are a lot closer than most polls predict. Honestly, Tennessee will probably swing McCain in the end, but it wont be a by a landslide. There's a lot of evidence on the ground here that Tennessee is a lot closer than the polls have been projecting. It's also quite well known here that a good chunk of the population uses cell phones rather than land lines and the youth and first time voters are already breaking records across the state.

[Abacus]

46. Yes.

He's a total idiot; I'm now certain of it.

[timber84]

13. Arizona?

I would love for that map to be right on target, but Arizona?

[Kerrytravelers]

14. I don't buy it. I think Obama will win, with a clear majority. But not this.

[Robeson]

15. Weird. I hope the McCain camp buys into that nonsense...

...so they'll be putting money into states like Tennessee, which they will win anyways.

[asdjrocky]

16. It looks good.

But I really find it hard to believe anything Morris says.

[HerbieHeadhunter]

17. Arkansas???!!!???? He must be sucking something....

other than hooker toes. I would love to see Arkansas in play more than anybody, but Obama *barely* has a campaign presence in this state.

[mvd]

19. Tennessee a tossup?

And Arkansas in our favor? I see an Obama landslide barring unforseen circumtances, but it is a little optimistic.

[CakeGrrl]

21. Newsmax? This is there to fire up the REPUB base and scare 'em to the polls

Never trust anything on Newsmax or from Morris to be favorable to Obama...

[TornadoTN]

25. Maybe - but it could also force McCain to spend money in places once thought "safe"

Honestly, I don't see this as any more or less credible than most any poll. There's no doubt that there's a groundswell of people that are fed up with the current situation economically and politically. I've long contended that Tennessee is a lot closer than most will acknowledge.

[Ishoutandscream2]

22. Like the map, but remember, this is the toe sucker

Treat with skepticism.

[DefenseLawyer]

23. Morris is worthless

Ergo, his map is worthless.

[Flirtus]

24. Yea! Tennessee's Big Orange!

I'm so excited, now ya'll know that we weren't really 100% red.

Get Out and VOTE!

[CreekDog]

27. Notice Virginia's Delmarva section is "toss-up"

While the rest of Virginia is "lean Obama". :eyes:

[MattNC]

28. that is a terrible map

doesn't jive with almost any polling.

[grantcart]

29. Agree with everything but Arkansas "He may be crazy but he is not stupid"

One of my father's favorite sayings

[LynneSin]

30. They must have changed the map because everything looks red to me

and I'm not about to infect my computer with that newsmax link

[Beetwasher]

As Much As I Would LOVE To Believe This, Morris Is Pulling This Out Of His Ass

There's no data to support this that I'm aware of. Obama is definitely ahead and widening his lead, but I would love to see where he's getting his numbers from. As to his motiviation for doing this? I have no clue, it's a complete mystery considering what a Repub shill he usually is.

[WeDidIt]

31. So Morris has it at Obama - 355, McCain - 133, Tossup - 50?

I'll take it, but Morris is far more wrong than he is ever right.

[Undercurrent]

33. Any comment on this fantasy map

must be predicated on the fact that Dick Morris is a certified idiot.

[Arugula Latte]

39. Or, as Jon Stewart said, "In his defense, Dick Morris is a lying sack of shit."

[NewJeffCT]

34. South Carolina in play?

If it's still in play in 30 days, then this election is all but over and it will be a landslide for Obama.

[yellowcanine]

35. Dick Morris has a wet finger in the air - has now decided Obama is likely to win, and is

maneuvering for influence in the Obama adminsitration. He truly is a whore.

[Secret_Society]

36. It wasn't too long ago that he had Hawaii as lean Obama

Dick Morris is one of the worst political analysts. He gets caught up in extremes. Not that this map is impossible it is crazy to predict this as anything but a longshot. I much prefer 538's in depth and statistical approach to electoral projections.

[anneboleyn]

37. Indiana is NOT "Strongly McCain." Morris is not looking at recent state polls here

http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/indiana.html

This link shows the most recent polls in Indiana, completed right before the bailout crisis, the debate, and McCain suspending his campaign. Most showed McCain with a two to three point lead, which is very, very close for Indiana, which has also had a huge number of new voter registrations this year. It is going to be a toss-up state, even though Indiana hasn't gone blue since 1964.

[dana_b]

49. that's the first thing that I noticed!

If anything, it's lavender.

[sufrommich]

38. Scare tactic to rally the troops? nt

[tomg]

40. Don't you just hate it when someone

tells you something you really want to hear, but the person is just so nuts that you simply can't believe it. Morris is just such an idiot.

[smb]

41. Oh, Please...

...AZ a tossup? FL deep blue?

Morris's girlfriend must be putting LSD in her toenail polish.

[aaaaaa5a]

42. What's up with that map...

I'm all for Obama, but that map is waaaaaaay to generous!

[neverforget]

43. Is he light headed from toe sucking?

[darius15]

44. What kind of map is this? LA and TN in play?

[Left 0f Center]

45. Holy shit.

Let it looks close to that come Nov 4th.... WOW

:dem:

[agentS]

48. LA a tossup? FL and NH are deep blue? Where's his methodology?

I went to the link but it didn't have any info on how he came to these poll numbers so I can't really say I agree with him.

So it begs the question;
1) Is his map a crock of crap?
2) If his map is based on some solid polling from sources other than Rassmussen or Gallup, then is his map more reflective of 'reality' than the polling places?

So your guess is as good as mine.

[Bucky]

51. His methodology is a secret. You'd have to spank it out of him.

Like with everything else, Morris's work here is just him pulling things out of his ass.

[Bucky]

50. Winning is cake. Winning Arizona would be icing. Winning Georgia... priceless.

At this rate, Diebold may just decide to take a pass on this year's election... maybe just focus on the locals.

[Heather MC]

53. This map looks like he just wanted to have cordinated colors. and when did WVA become a toss up

do people even bother to poll WVA???
just saying

[DCBob]

54. This must be based on his predictions, not on latest polling..

AR and MO are not leaning to Obama and NC is leaning to Obama and FL is not strongly Obama. It is possible the map could end up like this but based on current polling and trends it is not likely. I think Morris was drunk when he did this.