McCain might be having some money problems real soon

[AllentownJake]

The past two weeks have been a disaster for McCain. Palin is doing horrible every time a reporter or a Temple Grad student asks her a question, the public blames the economy on the GOP, and he took credit for passing something that ended up failing on Monday and made a giant show of what a strong leader he was before it failed. His debate performance was awful despite the talking heads trying to make it a tie. He came off angry and unstable in his body language.

McCain took public financing which means he got around 85 million to control since the convention. The rest is subsidized by the GOP. If the GOP views McCain as a lost cause they will take their money and give it to house and senate races to try to make the bleeding there not as bad. Hell even McConnel is having some problems right now. The last thing the GOP wants is a bigger majority in both houses and an Obama Presidency. They will invest their resources accordingly. McCain has about a week to turn this around in the polling before his funding gets cut significantly by the party and he is asked to play the role of Bob Dole in 1996 and help Senate and House races. He won't be able to fund the map because of the money he has and 527s don't help a losing candidate since they want something for their investment.

I think he has 7 days to make progress in the polls otherwise the GOP spicket will be off.

The most competive Senate races are in Colorado, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Minnesota, and Oregon. While they are all up for grab states with the exception of Oregon and Minnesota they aren't Ohio, PA, Florida, Michigan, New Mexico, Nevada, Indiana or Virginia...it would free Obama to run unopossed in those states money wise and walk his way to a landslide.

In short expect McCain to get very nasty and very Rovian in the next 7 days to try for the game changer.

[soccermomforobama]

1. Agreed about getting nasty. . .

he will also have to deflect any negative attention Palin might get next week with her financials being released on October 6 and Troopergate report due October 10.

[AllentownJake]

2. think the GOP will pull the money plug like I speculate?

[JaneQPublic]

8. The thing is that when McSame takes aim at Obama...

...he usually ends up shooting himself in the foot.

[AllentownJake]

10. The celebrity bullshit caught us off guard for 2 weeks.

Than he picked Palin and destroyed his entire talking point.

[jrockford]

3. Nice post nt

[Zomby Woof]

4. spigot

The word is 'spigot'.

[Arugula Latte]

5. Hey, who you callin' a spigot?

I ain't got a prejudiced bone in mah body ...

;)

[PerfectSage]

6. My impression is that McCain's ads have gotten nastier recently.

[elfin]

7. Not soon enough - fewer than 40 DAYS left

Can go into debt big time even though there is a "credit crunch". The crunch will not apply to the deregulator wannabe chief.

Will have plenty of money, but short on truth.

[AllentownJake]

9. He can't spend more than around 85 million

Even if he found a line of credit. He took public financing so somewhere around 85 million is his limit. The GOP can spend whatever they want on his behalf though. Its why there is such a disparity in party funding. Obama can spend whatever he wants because he opted out of that system.

[tulsakatz]

11. yesterday on Hardball, Chuck Todd gave an interesting demonstration.......

he talked about which states each candidate is doing well in now. Then he divided his board into a blue side and a red side and he put the respective states in each side.

Obama's electoral votes were decidedly better than McCain's. He had over 300 votes on his side! Then Chuck says, so let's suppose that Obama doesn't get all of these states, so he moved one state to McCain's side and then moved another and another!! Even after moving 3 states to McCain's side, he still only had about 259 votes and Obama had 279!!

His point was that Obama will likely win several states but that McCain has much fewer options.

It was cool!!

[ShadowLiberal]

12. I disagree that they'd abandon the presidentcy, but GOPers are worried about McCain

Some here mention McCain has gotten more negative lately, that's because GOPers are urging him to bring up the laundry list of controversial figures who's connections to Obama could hurt him (Wright, Ayes, etc).

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0908/14146.html

I however must strongly disagree that the RNC would abandon McCain for several reasons.

-It's been the RNC's strategy for months to abandon congress and save all their pennies for McCain, why change now when Obama is only 6% ahead of McCain and just one big state flipping could still give McCain the win?

-The GOP cares heavily about the Supreme Court and overturning Roe vs Wade. If McCain becomes president he WILL do that, to a number of highly religious GOPers this is their crusade, their jihad, and it would be wrong to abandon that mission before the job is done in their eyes.

-Pretty much everyone will tell you today that the president is the most powerful branch of the federal government, not congress. So why give up the presidency to focus on congress, where you have ZERO chance of reclaiming either house? That's like giving up on a bet you had a 1/3 shot at winning to invest your money in a bet that you have a 1/100 shot at winning that would give you much less of a payoff then your original bet.

-With all of the Bradley effects there's been this year, and reverse Bradley effects, it's worth a gamble to the GOP to go into the election day with McCain looking like a sure loser, and praying that he'll pull off the greatest political comeback since Harry Truman's stunning 1948 reelection victory.