By Eric Kleefeld - October 1, 2008, 10:18AM
One key thing about the new Quinnipiac polling released today is this: It is now the fourth recent public to find Barack Obama ahead in Florida, a state most observers have previously thought would be John McCain's to lose:
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Quinnipiac: Obama 51%, McCain 43%, in a poll released today. Three weeks ago, McCain lead 50%-43%.
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PPP (D): Obama 49%, McCain 45%, in a poll released yesterday. Three weeks ago, McCain was up 50%-45%.
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ARG: Obama 47%, McCain 46%, in a poll released a few days ago. Two weeks ago, the candidates were tied 46%-46%.
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Mason-Dixon: Obama 47%, McCain 45%, in a poll from a week ago. They also had Obama ahead 45%-44% a month ago, but were something of an outlier at the time.
There are other pollsters that don't have Obama ahead, but they've all shown him making significant progress:
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The reason for Obama's surge in Florida is the same as it is everywhere else: The economy. Both the Quinnipiac and PPP polls, which have supplied data on this, show that over 60% of Florida voters list the economy as their most important issue, and they give Obama a double-digit lead over McCain on how to handle it. By contrast, security issues only register in the teens, and McCain's advantage on those doesn't appear to be big enough to overcome the economic hurdles.