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Insider Advantage (Repub pollster) shows us leading in FL and NV!

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darius15 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 05:52 PM
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Insider Advantage (Repub pollster) shows us leading in FL and NV!
Florida: Obama 49, McCain 46
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/IA_Fla_100108.pdf

Analysis: “Sen. McCain lost ground since our last survey in Florida among males and
independents. Adding to current concerns for Sen. McCain in this survey is that nearly 20% of
African-American respondents tell us they are voting for McCain. This is usual for our surveys of
states in the Southeast and we almost always see the African-American column collapse to the
Democrat by the last week of the race. This means that there is more potential downside for
McCain. On the other side, independents in Florida usually break for the Republican. At current
the independent vote is very close between the two candidates. If McCain recaptures
independents, he can turn Florida around in a hurry

Nevada: Obama 48, McCain 47
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/IA_Nevada_100108.pdf

Analysis: “In Nevada Sen. Obama gained ground with men and, in the first instance we have
noticed, gained a statically significant 21% of voters who describe themselves as Republican.
We have not seen this occur in any of our recent polls. Regardless, the race remains tight, but
follows the general trend towards Sen. Obama in these key swing states.”

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