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So how does today's polls and electoral college projections look?

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Wetzelbill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 06:16 PM
Original message
So how does today's polls and electoral college projections look?
Edited on Wed Oct-01-08 06:19 PM by Wetzelbill
It's looking very good for Obama and McCain is in some serious trouble. If the Quinnipiac polls are any indication Obama could be heading out of Bradley Effect and voter fraud territory too. We still need to work of course, and fraud is unacceptable, but hopefully none of that will be game changing factor this time.



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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 06:17 PM
Response to Original message
1. Well if this is a hint another week like this and Mississippi will be in play lo
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Wetzelbill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 06:23 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. a few more states show movement actually
it could get interesting. Especially if Palin implodes and McCain screws up royally in the debates on economics.
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Bucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 06:18 PM
Response to Original message
2. Pssst... don't use HTML code for posting on DU.
just post the url address of the image & it shows up.

I assume this picture you posted is a 50 vote+ Obama win, right?
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Wetzelbill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 06:20 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Blah, I know I clicked on the wrong one at photobucket
:)
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HiFructosePronSyrup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 06:18 PM
Response to Original message
3. If the election is today, Obama wins in a landslide.
If the election is in the first week of November, McCain needs a major change in momentum, a series of major gaffes by the Obama campaign, and miracle in order to pull it off.
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Wetzelbill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 06:22 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. it's getting down to the wire
Not many big chances to make this up. Rezko, Ayers, none of that has done anything to Obama. Expect McCain to get flat ridiculous and shameful, even more than he has, in this last month.
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Tallison Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 06:25 PM
Response to Original message
7. So historically, how often do leads like this endure until the election?
Anyone know? :shrug:
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Wetzelbill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 06:36 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. he has about an 88 percent chance of holding on to win
I believe that's what Nate Silver said.
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Tallison Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 06:50 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. So in other words,
barring a major screw up, we're on track...

:smilie holding breath and turning blue:

(This election has inspired in me a million new smilie ideas!)
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Wetzelbill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 06:53 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. yeah it does look great
I'm too superstitious to go further, but yeah, it looks good. One thing that helps Obama is that he's the new guy, every time he steps up and debates McCain it mainly increases his upside, because just by going toe to toe with McCain he is able to cut into McCain's poll leads in leadership readiness, experience and foreign policy. McCain needed to go into the debates up by over 5 points and he was behind by that much. It'll be tough for him to win.
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