http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VA_1009535.pdfRaleigh, N.C. – For the first time in any of PPP’s Virginia polling this year the race is
something other than a two point lead for Barack Obama. He now leads 51-43 in the
state.
As it is everywhere, Obama’s movement in the state is being fueled by the economy.
63% of Virginia voters name it as their top issue, and within that group the Democrat has
a 59-36 advantage.
Demographically the major shift for Obama over the last three weeks has been among
white voters. He’s reduced what was a 60-35 deficit there to just a 52-42 one.
Since the last survey Joe Biden’s stock in the state has risen while Sarah Palin’s has
fallen. Biden’s gone from a +11 net favorability to +17 in the week following the Vice
Presidential debate, while Palin has dropped from a +2 to a -9.
“Virginia is showing the same trends as pretty much every other battleground state,” said
Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Voters are turning toward the
Democrats as concern over the economy mounts, and they’re also a lot less enamored
with Sarah Palin than they were shortly after the Republican convention.”
The race for the state’s open Senate seat continues to be a romp for Mark Warner. He
leads fellow former Governor Jim Gilmore 58-31 while winning independents at a
remarkable 66-20 clip. He’s also capturing 26% of the Republican vote, making it nearly
impossible for Gilmore to even bring the race within 20 points.
PPP surveyed 917 likely voters on October 6th and 7th. The survey’s margin of error is
+/-3.2%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce
additional error that is more difficult to quantify.