Latest Poll breakdown looking great for Obama.

[No Passaran]

The Zogby-Reuters poll is already out. From reading Zogby's write-up, it sounds like Obama must have had about a 9 point lead in Thursday's interviewing and, oh, a 5-6 point lead in Wednesday's interviewing. This compared with a 2-point lead over the Sunday-Tuesday window, before the debate occurred. (Zogby's party ID weightings are screwy, but we'll discuss that at another time; the poll should be fine for inferring trendlines).

Research 2000 had Obama winning Wednesday's daily sample by 12 points, as compared with 9 on Monday and 8 on Tuesday.

Or take a look at the most recent Rasmussen polling. They put five polls out tonight: Obama by 3 in Florida, Obama by 1 in North Carolina, Obama by 16 in Michigan, Obama by 8 in New Jersey, and McCain by 7 in Indiana. From among that set of polling, the Indiana result is poor for Obama, and the New Jersey result is a little below expectations, but the North Carolina and Florida numbers are pretty good and the Michigan number is very good. Obama's two worst polls from that group -- Indiana and New Jersey -- were conducted on Tuesday, principally before the debate. The other three, which were stronger for him, were conducted on Wednesday, after the debate.

So, I don't know. Take this with a grain of salt. But there are some hints that Obama may be on track to post some of his strongest numbers yet as we head into the weekend.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/debate-may-have-helped-obama.html

[Blondiegrrl]

1. Thanks for the info. I have a feeling Obama is trending upward again too. n/t

[Bigleaf]

2. Lawrence O'Donnell said something interesting tonight. He said that McLames internals are probably

a lot worse than the polls we are seeing and that is the reason for the outlandish, desparate, despicable behavior they are displaying. He went on to say that they will do this for another week, and if the internals are the same or worse, they will abandon this altogether but at that point it will be too late anyway. He said this on Rachel tonight.

[thesubstanceofdreams]

3. Agree. Obama lost a couple of points and is now gaining them back.

Minor fluctuations are to be expected and are nothing to panic/get too excited about. What matters is that Obama has a large solid structural advantage at this point.

[Schulzz]

4. And this is with the wrong party IDs from Zobgy.

I still believe that the 3 points McCain gained in Rasmussen have to do with one better polling day (Obama +1 or so) for McCain on Tuesday. Gallup, R2000 (one day sample) and Zogby are showing gains for Obama in the last 2 days. Hotline screwed up their party ID, now that they use 41 Dem 36 Rep again, Obama's lead is back to 6. The negative attacks are NOT working, or Obama's debate performance had simply more effect.

[AwakeAtLast]

5. I think the avalanche has begun.

This is gonna be a hell of a ride if it has! :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: