Where do you think the TRUE polling stands right now?

[Guaranteed]

We seem to be having a lot of trouble coming to some kind of conclusion of who is leading this race between Kerry and the Chimp.

In the interest of not push (or PULL) polling, I won't offer up my own opinion on this, but I WILL say that I don't think things are nearly as bad as the media is making it out to be for us.

So- who's winning this race with regard to the popular vote (not the electoral vote)?

[rocktivity]

1. It stands right here

Bush is leading in only two polls more than Kerry, and NOT by more than three points. SO EVERYBODY CALM DOWN.

:headbang:
rocknation

[molly]

2. If Kerry is leading by ANY

margin or * poll numbers are below 60, we got notta thing to worry about.

[Guaranteed]

3. Can we get some dates on those numbers, please? nt

[rocktivity]

4. August 24-Sept 2, depending the poll

And I doubt the Sept 2 poll was taken after Bush's speech. SO EVERYBODY CALM DOWN.

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm

:headbang:
rocknation

[StlMo]

7. You beat me by about 30 seconds.

:)

[StlMo]

5. Go to this page:

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm

[quaoar]

6. The key to the election is turnout

And the polls badly underestimate that. They always have.

[oasis]

8. The are important factors in this election that pollsters have overlooked.

[Guaranteed]

9. kick nt

[Guaranteed]

10. Kick

Get out there and VOTE, folks!

[Davis_X_Machina]

11. Unless and until

I see the right track/wrong track numbers flip, and a significant change in the approval, and more importantly disapproval, numbers for both candidates, I'm sticking by my prediction:

Kerry, w/ 307 EV and a popular margin of 4.1 million.

(You will notice that the Time poll in question doesn't have, or doesn't report, answers to these questions.)

Thus it is written, so it shall be.

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

12. kick

:kick:

[dolstein]

13. I'd put Bush up by around 5%

If Kerry has a good month, the race should be deadlocked by October 1. If he has another bad month, fuhgettaboudit.

[Guaranteed]

15. That would be my guess...

and it's going to go down...down...down.

[brentspeak]

14. Bush is leading by 2 or 3 percentage points

Which means, it's anyone's game right now.