The Early Line: Diageo/Hotline Tracking Poll - O 50% M 40%

[Pirate Smile]

October 11, 2008
The Early Line: Diageo/Hotline Tracking Poll


Obama/Biden 50%
McCain/Palin 40%
Undec 7%

- Burgeoning Record. In the first Diageo/Hotline poll taken fully after the 2nd WH debate, Obama leads McCain by 10%, his largest margin thus far. Previously, Obama's record advantage had been 7%.

- Prepare & Contrast. McCain now has his smallest lead ever on who LVs feel is more prepared to lead the nation. 46% say McCain is more prepared, while 43% say Obama. A week ago, in the survey completed 10/3, McCain led 49-41%.

- Hail To The Victor. LVs overwhelmingly feel Obama won the 2nd debate. Among the 71% who watched, 53% say the Dem nominee prevailed, while just 14% say McCain. In a similarly timed sample of RVs after the 1st debate, 42% said Obama won and 25% said McCain.

- Made The Grades. Obama scored considerably higher among debate watchers than McCain. 71% say Obama did an "excellent" or "good" job in the debate, while only 38% say the same of McCain. 27% say Obama did an "only fair" or "poor" job, while 59% say the same of McCain.

Today's Diageo/Hotline tracking poll, conducted 10/8-10 by FD, surveyed 808 LVs and has a margin of error of +/- 3.4%. Party ID Breakdown for the sample is 41%D, 37%R, 18%I.

For subscribers, look to Monday's Latest Edition for full results and checkout Keys To The White House at any time to see how Obama and McCain are doing among key demographic groups.

(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)


http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2008/10/the_early_line_4.html#comments

edit to add - it isn't posted on Ambinder's blog yet or in their daily tracker graph but is posted at the link above.

[Phredicles]

1. This is nice, but aren't they the outfit that had Obama only 2 or 3 points

ahead just a couple of days ago? I mean, this is in line with what the other polls are saying, but I wonder what their thoughts are on their own methodology.