JCMach1
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Sat Sep-04-04 12:34 AM
Original message |
We are behind after *'s Convention 'Bounce': Time to Face the Music |
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It's also time to face what needs to be done and what can happen.
1. Kerry Ads come back ONLINE this month. 2. It's about the turnout. If a negative race kills the turnout we are sunk. 3. External events play a roll. For example: how will Floridians respond to being flattened by two hurricanes. 4. Debates can play a huge role (especially for Kerry). 5. Hard work and don't give up... the polls will take care of themselves.
Need I remind everyone how much Bush was up according to Gallup Times and CNN the Friday before the election.
Keep your eye on the prize.
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NMDemDist2
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Sat Sep-04-04 12:35 AM
Response to Original message |
1. GOTV is the key, here's the real poll numbers-Time is an anomaly |
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Edited on Sat Sep-04-04 12:36 AM by AZDemDist6
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JCMach1
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Sat Sep-04-04 12:37 AM
Response to Reply #1 |
4. With the latest Zogby we are down 2-11 points. |
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That's a huge difference... but we are down :(
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NMDemDist2
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Sat Sep-04-04 12:39 AM
Response to Reply #4 |
5. there has to be a small convention bounce |
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to expect any different is irrational
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2Design
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Sat Sep-04-04 12:37 AM
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2. Yes Bush will be bounced right out of office :=) |
LisaL
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Sat Sep-04-04 12:37 AM
Response to Original message |
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Why would negative race kill turn out? If people are angry about G.W. Bush and what he is doing, why wouldn't they go out and vote?
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JCMach1
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Sat Sep-04-04 12:41 AM
Response to Reply #3 |
6. Conentional wisdom among people who run campaigns says |
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that negative campaigning sinks turnout...
That's, of course if you believe that.
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POed_Ex_Repub
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Sat Sep-04-04 12:41 AM
Response to Reply #3 |
8. Because undecideds and those not "Hard-core" |
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Tend to simply get disgusted with both parties and decide not to vote. Doesn't seem to matter if all the mud slinging is coming from one side.
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UdoKier
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Sat Sep-04-04 12:41 AM
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7. Something else to keep in mind... |
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Edited on Sat Sep-04-04 12:47 AM by UdoKier
The 3% for Nader will NOT materialize. He will get 0.5% or less, he's not even going to be on a lot of states'; ballots, and Nader voters are less likely to show up, since their '68 VW vans are usually broken down! (ba-dump-ump)
Seriously, I think all these polls greatly exaggerate the Nader factor.
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JCMach1
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Sat Sep-04-04 12:42 AM
Response to Reply #7 |
9. I agree with the 3% Nader part... but will they vote |
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Wed May 01st 2024, 06:27 PM
Response to Original message |