The Georgia early voting surge continues; could be extremely good for Obama

[TeamJordan23]

The Georgia surge continues

The Atlanta Journal Constitution reported recently on disproportionate voting from African-Americans. Georgia doesn't appear to be in play in the presidential election, but it tracks early votes contemporaneously (and online), so it may be a useful bellwether for what's happening elsewhere.

If it is, the news continues to be extremely good for Obama. Early vote totals have now reached 499,582 -- about 75,000 more than were cast early in all of 2004. (The state is also newly encouraging early voting this year, so that's a major factor.)

And the ratio of African-American voters remains extremely high: 37% of the early votes were cast by black voters, who make up just 29% of the state's electorate.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/1008/The_Georgia_surge_continues.html?showall

[HiFructosePronSyrup]

1. All of the states are winner take all electoral votes, aren't they?

There was a thread the other week that suggested at least one state divides up their EVs proportional to the vote, but I didn't think that was true.

[Tarc]

2. Nebraska and Maine do, though it has never happened in either

[Spider Jerusalem]

3. Nebraska and Maine award their electoral votes by Congressional district.

Note that they've never split their electoral votes since they switched from winner-take-all (I think with the 1964 election, but I could be mistaken).

[mirrera]

4. Maine devides its 4 votes, McCain thinks he can get 1 of them.

[TeamJordan23]

5. I think only Nebraska divides their EVs proportional. nm

[mohc]

6. No states is truly proportional

But Maine and Nebraska award 1 elector each to the winners of their Congressional districts, with the remaining 2 electors going to the statewide winner. There is an outside chance at Obama picking up the Omaha based Congressional District in Nebraska.

[rvablue]

9. I just learned from another DUer today that Maine splits them by district! n/t

And there is one other state they cited but I can't recall it at this moment.

But Georgia is a winner take all state.

[Schulzz]

7. If Obama wins 25% of the white vote, the AA turnout would have to be around 33%.

If he takes more than 25% the turnout can be smaller, off course. I said 25% because it is SUSA's latest number.

[charlie and algernon]

8. that's nuts

Imagine on election night if they can't call Georgia, Mississippi, and South Carolina right away for McCain. Then imagine Obama winning one or all three....