blueinindiana
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:40 PM
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Most "Unsure" voters will break for McCain and very well could turn the election. |
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This election will be much closer than people think it will be.
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villager
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:41 PM
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SunsetDreams
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:41 PM
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2. Whatchyou talkin' about Willis? |
sabra
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:42 PM
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Danger Mouse
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:42 PM
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4. Do you have anything to back this up or did it come straight from your ass? |
SuperTrouper
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:43 PM
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In reality most undecideds break for the challenger (Obama) and not the incumbent (McCain and his rancid GOP).
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Danger Mouse
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:52 PM
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23. Since he hasn't come back to defend his OP, I'm voting for 'straight from his ass'. |
Guy Whitey Corngood
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:55 PM
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26. And how do you know his ass doesn't have secret access to internal polls? |
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Sorry, I couldn't help myself.
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Morning Dew
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Fri Oct-17-08 04:13 PM
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Guy Whitey Corngood
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Fri Oct-17-08 04:21 PM
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crossroads
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Sat Oct-18-08 11:53 AM
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This seems to be another one of those 'concerned' posts that are only meant to instill doubt! Doubt is like poison in the community well! :wtf: CR
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CaliforniaPeggy
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:43 PM
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6. Not going to happen... |
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There are very few undecided voters left.
What is the basis for your thinking?
:shrug:
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The Wielding Truth
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:44 PM
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Phx_Dem
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:44 PM
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8. Very possible. Or, they could just stay home because |
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let's face it, anyone who hasn't made up their mind is either a complete imbicile who has a problem making decisions or doesn't like either candidate, in which case they may just decide to save gas and time and not vote.
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Sukie
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:44 PM
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9. How about putting the positive approach to your words. |
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"Most unsure voters will vote for Obama and we will have a landslide." Now that's more like it.
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Drunken Irishman
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:44 PM
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10. He'd need to win the undecided votes by 60% for it to have any impact. |
brentspeak
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:45 PM
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11. I don't see that happening |
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Obama has been doing a good job of presenting himself as a steady, reliable candidate; McCain has been doing a good job of presenting himself as a mercurial, flailing mess. The majority of undecideds will go for Obama.
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Vincardog
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:45 PM
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12. And the 80% who believe we are headed in the WRONG DIRECTION should just STFU right? |
Shine
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:45 PM
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WI_DEM
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:45 PM
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14. Actually most undecided voters at the last minute vote for the out-party which means the Dems. |
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That is traditionally how it usually goes.
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H2O Man
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:45 PM
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FrenchieCat
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:45 PM
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16. Most unsure voters will watch Obama on October 29 for 30 minutes..... |
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and will go in the voting booth and pull the lever for Barack Obama. It will dawn on them that The United States will be otracized by the rest of the world in a way not seen before otherwise. The contrast between Obama and McCain are too stark and there is no rationalization to vote for John McCain. No one wants to see McCain's mug on television for the next 4 years, even the racists.
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AlCzervik
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:46 PM
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17. That's it, you have nothing to back that up? What a total waste of forum real estate. |
nini
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:46 PM
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18. Yes, Of course and monkeys are flying out of my ass as I type this. |
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Edited on Fri Oct-17-08 03:46 PM by nini
True, some indies will but no way will it be all of them.
relax
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democrattotheend
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:47 PM
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19. Probably true. That's why I won't relax no matter what the polls say |
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I am feeling cautiously optimistic, but the fact that Hillary almost always won the late deciders in the primary or at least did better with late deciders than she did with early deciders freaks me out. Part of that may have had more to do with Hillary than with Obama...despite my passionate support for Obama, I paused for a second when I voted, feeling a little guilty about voting against the first woman with a real shot at the presidency. Of course, I overcame my guilt and voted for Obama, but I wonder if some women who were not as firmly decided as I was may have felt guilty and ended up voting for her at the last minute.
That being said, it still freaks me out. It could be race, doubts about Obama's "inexperience" that make some people skittish at the last minute, stepped-up fear-mongering at the end, e-mail smears, belief that he's a Muslim, or just general skittishness with someone who hasn't been nationally known for as long, but the fact that Obama always seemed to lose the day-of deciders in the primaries freaks me out, and I agree with those who say Obama needs a cushion in the polls and needs to be over or very close to 50%. And if you are going to accuse me of concern trolling, let me point out that Obama himself has sounded a lot like what some people on here would call a concern troll today.
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PermanentRevolution
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:47 PM
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20. Do the Rays win the World Series? |
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I mean, since you can see the future and all...
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Jeff In Milwaukee
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:50 PM
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21. Even in a normal year, this would be likely |
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Typically late-deciders go to the challenger. With McCain acting as a virtual proxy for the Bush Administration (and the incumbent), you can likely count on the votes breaking to Obama's favor.
And as others have noted upthread, 80% of the country want change. This is not a normal year.
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Danger Mouse
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:51 PM
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Jeff In Milwaukee
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Sat Oct-18-08 11:35 AM
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40. Likely...Unlikely...What's the difference?! |
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Thanks for clarifying me!
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Beetwasher
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:52 PM
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24. Whatever You Say, Karl! |
CGrantt57
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Fri Oct-17-08 03:55 PM
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There are no projections out there that show this could happen.
In fact, historically, unsures split 50-50.
This election is so far out of reach for McAncient that he would actually have to convince a large number of Obama voters to jump ship in order to win.
Ain't gonna happen.
But, we can't act like we have it in the bag.
Remember what the Big Dog said, "Campaign like you're 20 points down, even if you're 20 points ahead."
We have the stake in our hands, poised over the poisonous heart of the Republicans.
Time to hammer that fucker home.
Regards,
Mike
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hillary
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Fri Oct-17-08 04:00 PM
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27. Are there any undecideds? |
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I mean, REALLY? I think they are more than likely just going to stay home, then complain about the results!
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JimWis
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Fri Oct-17-08 04:00 PM
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28. The unsure or undecided voters are not big in number by now. |
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Half of those idiots never will make up their mind and stay home. The other half will flip a coin in the voting booth. And any who vote for McCain could possibly be offset by the Republicans crossing over to Barack - and I have been hearing alot of that is happening recently.
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budkin
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Fri Oct-17-08 04:05 PM
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Jersey Devil
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Fri Oct-17-08 04:06 PM
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30. No, most unsure voters will have pizza instead of voting |
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Your pizza will probably be arriving shortly
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VolcanoJen
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Fri Oct-17-08 04:07 PM
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31. uhbuhduh uhbuhduh ohhhkaaaaaaay |
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That's some sterling analysis, you've got there, Skip-O.
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Alexander
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Fri Oct-17-08 04:08 PM
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32. Is that why Indiana, Virginia, and North Dakota are too close to call? |
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You've got to be kidding me, right?
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Marsala
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Fri Oct-17-08 04:15 PM
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35. Virginia isn't too close to call |
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It's turning deeper and deeper blue.
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karynnj
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Fri Oct-17-08 04:11 PM
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33. Do you still think that after the Chicago Trib endorsement? |
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I grew up in NW Indiana. It is a major shock to me that they endorsed Obama. The impact may be more than the number of people who read it. They are KNOWN to be conservative and it will cause people to think twice before voting for McCain.
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99th_Monkey
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Fri Oct-17-08 04:22 PM
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37. Polls show way more Independents breaking for Obama. Why are you saying this? ~nt |
AzDar
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Fri Oct-17-08 04:22 PM
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38. Are ya blue 'cause you're WRONG so much? |
damntexdem
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Fri Oct-17-08 05:07 PM
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39. Could happen -- could be different. |
cliffordu
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Sat Oct-18-08 11:36 AM
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41. On what planet are we hypothetically speaking, compadre?? |
senseandsensibility
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Sat Oct-18-08 11:40 AM
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42. Thanks for your well documented and reasoned analysis |
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After reading this, the discussion is obviously over.
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Higher Standard
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Sat Oct-18-08 11:42 AM
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43. Where did you pull this from? |
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I'm just curious what your reasoning is that unsures will break heavily for McCain?
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helderheid
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Sat Oct-18-08 11:42 AM
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44. It CAN NOT be close enough to steal again. GOTMFV |
jazzjunkysue
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Sat Oct-18-08 11:48 AM
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45. Maybe in another year, but not with this economy. People vote their pocket, |
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and there aren't enough undecideds to give Gramps 100 electoral votes.
Remember, the popular vote is irrelevant.
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Cosmic Charlie
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Sat Oct-18-08 12:04 PM
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mokawanis
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Sat Oct-18-08 12:08 PM
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48. No additional comment from the op? |
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I'd like to hear the reasoning for making this strange prediction.
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quakerboy
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Sat Oct-18-08 12:10 PM
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Unsure and undecideds will obviously break for someone who combines all the best qualities of Bush, Cheney and Lieberman. Backed up by someone who combines the worst qualities of Cheney, Boss Hogg, and Rachel Ray.
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